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2012-03-16

Model Predictions

Model Alabama Crimson Tide Creighton Bluejays Spread Result
Elo 36.7% 63.3% +2.8 โœ“ (1.8 off)
Bradley-Terry 28.4% 71.6% - โœ“
Margin 38.1% 61.9% +2.7 โœ“ (1.7 off)
Pythagorean 46.3% 53.7% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 61.9% 38.1% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 62.2% 37.8% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 43.9% 56.1% - โœ“

Actual: Creighton Bluejays +1 (58-57). Ratings: 2011-12 season-end ratings.

Alabama Crimson Tide

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Trevor Releford * 37 5-10 2-6 2-2 4 4 1 1 2 14 12 -
JaMychal Green * 36 6-10 0-0 0-0 6 1 1 3 5 12 8 -
Levi Randolph * 30 2-9 1-3 2-6 5 0 0 0 1 7 2 -
Andrew Steele * 28 2-6 1-1 0-0 5 1 0 0 0 5 5 -
Nick Jacobs * 18 2-3 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 4 4 -
Trevor Lacey 34 4-6 3-5 2-4 5 2 2 0 1 13 15 -
Charles Hankerson Jr. 8 1-3 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 2 0 -
Ben Eblen 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 0 2 -
Rodney Cooper 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Creighton Bluejays

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Grant Gibbs * 38 4-6 1-2 1-2 6 4 1 0 1 10 14 -
Doug McDermott * 37 6-12 1-2 3-4 10 0 0 1 2 16 13 -
Antoine Young * 31 1-5 0-1 0-0 1 5 0 0 2 2 1 -
Gregory Echenique * 26 3-8 0-0 0-3 5 0 0 1 0 6 4 -
Josh Jones * 23 2-5 2-4 1-4 1 2 2 0 0 7 7 -
Jahenns Manigat 17 2-5 2-5 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 6 4 -
Ethan Wragge 14 3-6 3-6 0-0 2 0 1 1 1 9 6 -
Austin Chatman 9 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 0 0 2 3 -
Will Artino 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
Avery Dingman 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter