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2012-03-16

Model Predictions

Model Alabama Crimson Tide Creighton Bluejays Spread Result
Elo 72.1% 27.9% -
Bradley-Terry 35.2% 64.8% -
Margin 47.0% 53.0% +0.7 (0.3 off)
Pythagorean 44.5% 55.5% -
Efficiency 35.3% 64.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 64.2% 35.8% -
Log Adjusted 64.3% 35.7% -

Actual: Creighton Bluejays +1 (58-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Alabama Crimson Tide

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Releford * 37 5-10 2-6 2-2 4 4 1 1 2 14 12 -
J. Green * 36 6-10 0-0 0-0 6 1 1 3 5 12 8 -
L. Randolph * 30 2-9 1-3 2-6 5 0 0 0 1 7 2 -
A. Steele * 28 2-6 1-1 0-0 5 1 0 0 0 5 5 -
N. Jacobs * 18 2-3 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 4 4 -
T. Lacey 34 4-6 3-5 2-4 5 2 2 0 1 13 15 -
C. Hankerson Jr. 8 1-3 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 2 0 -
B. Eblen 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 0 2 -
R. Cooper 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Creighton Bluejays

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
G. Gibbs * 38 4-6 1-2 1-2 6 4 1 0 1 10 14 -
D. McDermott * 37 6-12 1-2 3-4 10 0 0 1 2 16 13 -
A. Young * 31 1-5 0-1 0-0 1 5 0 0 2 2 1 -
G. Echenique * 26 3-8 0-0 0-3 5 0 0 1 0 6 4 -
J. Jones * 23 2-5 2-4 1-4 1 2 2 0 0 7 7 -
J. Manigat 17 2-5 2-5 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 6 4 -
E. Wragge 14 3-6 3-6 0-0 2 0 1 1 1 9 6 -
A. Chatman 9 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 0 0 2 3 -
W. Artino 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
A. Dingman 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter