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Arkansas Razorbacks 66
@
Alabama Crimson Tide 72
2012-01-28

Model Predictions

Model Arkansas Razorbacks Alabama Crimson Tide Spread Result
Elo 18.4% 81.6% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 48.1% 51.9% - ✓
Margin 21.2% 78.8% +7.2 ✓ (1.2 off)
Pythagorean 19.0% 81.0% - ✓
Efficiency 42.9% 57.1% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 1.1% 98.9% - ✓
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% - ✓

Actual: Alabama Crimson Tide +6 (72-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Arkansas Razorbacks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Scott Jr. 37 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 4 0 0 3 18 24 -
J. Nobles 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 3 0 0 3 9 -
B. Young 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 0 4 0 3 11 18 -
M. Wade 27 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 3 0 0 4 12 13 -
M. Sanchez 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 2 1 0 3 6 10 -
R. Madden 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 2 2 1 1 3 7 -
D. Abron 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 2 1 0 8 16 -
H. Mickelson 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 5 6 -

Alabama Crimson Tide

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Releford 37 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 2 2 0 2 18 24 -
A. Steele 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 6 0 0 1 11 22 -
J. Green 27 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 1 1 2 4 14 22 -
T. Mitchell 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 0 3 2 2 11 20 -
L. Randolph 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 2 1 1 4 10 -
N. Jacobs 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 2 3 2 6 11 -
T. Lacey 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 2 2 -
C. Hankerson Jr. 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 2 2 3 -
R. Cooper 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 4 4 -
B. Eblen 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter