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2012-01-28

Model Predictions

Model Arkansas Razorbacks Alabama Crimson Tide Spread Result
Elo 12.2% 87.8% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 27.0% 73.0% - โœ“
Margin 10.6% 89.4% +11.8 โœ“ (5.8 off)
Pythagorean 39.1% 60.9% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 8.7% 91.3% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 8.5% 91.5% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 26.7% 73.3% - โœ“

Actual: Alabama Crimson Tide +6 (72-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Arkansas Razorbacks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Rickey Scott 37 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 4 0 0 3 18 24 -
Julysses Nobles 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 3 0 0 3 9 -
B.J. Young 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 0 4 0 3 11 18 -
Mardracus Wade 27 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 3 0 0 4 12 13 -
Michael Sanchez 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 2 1 0 3 6 10 -
Rashad Madden 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 2 2 1 1 3 7 -
Devonta Abron 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 2 1 0 8 16 -
Hunter Mickelson 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 5 6 -

Alabama Crimson Tide

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Trevor Releford 37 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 2 2 0 2 18 24 -
Andrew Steele 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 6 0 0 1 11 22 -
JaMychal Green 27 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 1 1 2 4 14 22 -
Tony Mitchell 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 0 3 2 2 11 20 -
Levi Randolph 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 2 1 1 4 10 -
Nick Jacobs 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 2 3 2 6 11 -
Trevor Lacey 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 2 2 -
C. Hankerson Jr. 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 2 2 3 -
Rodney Cooper 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 4 4 -
Ben Eblen 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter