Model Predictions
| Model | Mississippi State Bulldogs | Alabama Crimson Tide | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 20.7% | 79.3% | +8.3 | ✓ (8.7 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 33.8% | 66.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 17.2% | 82.8% | +8.6 | ✓ (8.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.9% | 57.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 17.7% | 82.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 17.5% | 82.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 32.2% | 67.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Alabama Crimson Tide +17 (67-50). Ratings: 2011-12 season-end ratings.
Mississippi State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dee Bost * | 40 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 21 | - |
| Arnett Moultrie * | 40 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 12 | - |
| Jalen Steele * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 12 | - |
| Brian Bryant * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | - |
| Renardo Sidney * | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 16 | - |
| Wendell Lewis | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Deville Smith | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Player #46222 | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Roquez Johnson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Alabama Crimson Tide
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Levi Randolph * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 32 | - |
| Andrew Steele * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 12 | - |
| Rodney Cooper * | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Trevor Lacey * | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Moussa Gueye * | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Trevor Releford | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 15 | - |
| JaMychal Green | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 14 | - |
| Carl Engstrom | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - |
| Charles Hankerson Jr. | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Nick Jacobs | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Ben Eblen | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter