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2011-11-18

Model Predictions

Model Alabama Crimson Tide Wichita State Shockers Spread Result
Elo 93.5% 6.5% -
Bradley-Terry 51.3% 48.7% -
Margin 55.4% 44.6% -1.2 (8.8 off)
Pythagorean 39.3% 60.7% -
Efficiency 9.1% 90.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 31.0% 69.0% -
Log Adjusted 31.0% 69.0% -

Actual: Wichita State Shockers -10 (60-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Alabama Crimson Tide

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Mitchell * 39 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 2 2 3 4 26 37 -
L. Randolph * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 1 2 0 1 8 15 -
J. Green * 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 11 2 0 4 3 15 29 -
T. Releford * 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 4 2 0 1 15 21 -
R. Cooper * 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
T. Lacey 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 2 2 1 1 2 11 -
C. Hankerson Jr. 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
N. Jacobs 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 5 1 4 11 -
C. Engstrom 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 1 0 2 -

Wichita State Shockers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Ragland * 37 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 2 2 0 5 14 20 -
B. Smith * 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 1 1 16 19 -
D. Kyles * 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 4 2 1 4 0 5 -
D. Williams * 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 3 0 -1 -
G. Stutz * 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 9 1 0 0 2 5 13 -
T. Murry 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 1 1 0 2 21 26 -
C. Hall 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 12 1 0 1 0 4 18 -
E. Orukpe 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 2 0 0 3 -
T. Cotton 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter