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2012-02-14

Model Predictions

Model Florida Gators Alabama Crimson Tide Spread Result
Elo 36.7% 63.3% -
Bradley-Terry 50.2% 49.8% -
Margin 43.1% 56.9% +1.5 (10.5 off)
Pythagorean 48.6% 51.4% -
Efficiency 81.1% 18.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 59.6% 40.4% -
Log Adjusted 59.6% 40.4% -

Actual: Alabama Crimson Tide -9 (52-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Florida Gators

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Boynton * 39 2-8 1-6 4-4 2 2 2 0 0 9 7 -
B. Beal * 38 4-12 1-3 5-6 8 3 2 2 2 14 15 -
E. Walker * 37 1-6 0-4 3-5 2 7 0 0 4 5 4 -
E. Murphy * 31 5-11 4-8 0-0 5 1 4 1 1 14 13 -
P. Young * 22 9-12 0-0 1-1 3 0 0 0 2 19 8 -
S. Wilbekin 22 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
C. Larson 8 0-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
C. Prather 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

Alabama Crimson Tide

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Releford * 33 3-6 1-3 1-4 2 2 3 0 1 8 8 -
A. Steele * 31 4-8 0-1 3-4 5 3 1 1 3 11 10 -
R. Cooper * 24 2-9 1-4 0-0 3 1 1 0 4 5 -3 -
L. Randolph * 19 1-3 1-2 0-2 9 0 0 2 0 3 11 -
N. Jacobs * 7 1-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 2 -2 -
T. Lacey 28 3-6 0-3 0-0 2 2 1 0 2 6 3 -
C. Hankerson Jr. 23 2-6 1-3 4-6 3 0 0 0 0 9 6 -
M. Gueye 15 1-3 0-0 2-4 4 1 0 0 2 4 4 -
C. Engstrom 15 1-1 0-0 2-4 0 0 0 1 2 4 2 -
B. Eblen 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter