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2012-01-21

Model Predictions

Model Alabama Crimson Tide Kentucky Wildcats Spread Result
Elo 57.7% 42.3% -
Bradley-Terry 22.2% 77.8% -
Margin 25.6% 74.4% +5.9 (0.1 off)
Pythagorean 39.4% 60.6% -
Efficiency 2.3% 97.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 5.0% 95.0% -
Log Adjusted 4.9% 95.1% -

Actual: Kentucky Wildcats +6 (77-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Alabama Crimson Tide

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Hankerson Jr. 0 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
T. Releford * 36 6-8 2-2 3-5 3 3 2 0 0 17 17 -
J. Green * 36 8-13 0-0 6-8 12 0 0 1 3 22 19 -
T. Lacey * 35 4-7 2-4 0-0 5 5 0 0 3 10 10 -
T. Mitchell * 20 2-9 1-1 1-3 4 0 1 1 2 6 1 -
L. Randolph * 14 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 0 0 -
N. Jacobs 28 4-10 0-0 1-1 3 0 0 0 2 9 0 -
A. Steele 26 0-1 0-0 4-4 2 2 0 0 1 4 6 -
M. Gueye 5 0-0 0-0 3-4 2 0 0 0 2 3 3 -

Kentucky Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Davis * 39 2-10 0-0 7-9 9 0 4 4 0 11 18 -
M. Teague * 38 4-11 0-1 2-4 2 1 0 0 3 10 -1 -
T. Jones * 32 4-7 1-2 6-12 6 1 1 2 2 15 16 -
D. Miller * 29 2-5 2-4 5-6 2 4 2 1 2 11 13 -
M. Kidd-Gilchrist * 23 4-7 0-1 5-7 6 1 2 1 0 13 16 -
D. Lamb 33 5-8 2-3 2-2 4 2 0 0 1 14 11 -
K. Wiltjer 6 1-3 1-3 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 3 2 -

* = starter