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2012-02-23

Model Predictions

Model Alabama Crimson Tide Arkansas Razorbacks Spread Result
Elo 69.0% 31.0% -
Bradley-Terry 37.7% 62.3% -
Margin 54.7% 45.3% -1.0 (10.0 off)
Pythagorean 75.0% 25.0% -
Efficiency 51.1% 48.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 92.9% 7.1% -
Log Adjusted 93.0% 7.0% -

Actual: Arkansas Razorbacks -11 (68-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Alabama Crimson Tide

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Releford * 37 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 2 3 0 3 14 22 -
L. Randolph * 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 3 0 0 0 4 9 -
A. Steele * 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 3 0 0 3 15 21 -
M. Gueye * 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 2 0 0 -
T. Lacey * 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 8 11 -
R. Cooper 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 2 1 0 1 17 21 -
N. Jacobs 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 1 2 14 18 -
C. Hankerson Jr. 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 7 8 -
B. Eblen 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
C. Engstrom 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 1 0 1 -

Arkansas Razorbacks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Wade * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 11 9 -
B. Young * 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 5 2 1 4 21 26 -
R. Scott Jr. * 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 4 12 11 -
D. Abron * 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 10 2 1 1 0 7 21 -
M. Waithe * 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 1 0 2 0 4 -
J. Nobles 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 3 2 0 3 11 17 -
H. Mickelson 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 1 5 7 -
R. Madden 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -2 -
M. Sanchez 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 1 2 -
K. Haydar 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter