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Washington Wizards

Also known as: Washington Wizards
Program History

2009 Team Stats (73 games)

97.0
PPG
104.2
Opp
-7.2
Margin
45.2%
FG%
32.7%
3P%
77.0%
FT%
40.3
RPG
20.1
APG
13.4
TO
93.7
Est. poss./game
95.0
Adj PPG
101.9
Adj Opp PPG
#28
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2008-2009
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 811 (#27) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 783 (#28) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +102 elo More โ†’ 897 (#28) HCA +102 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.3 More โ†’ -7.0 (#28) HCA +3.3
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.7 More โ†’ -6.7 (#28) HCA +3.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.297 (#28) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -8.0 More โ†’ 0.297 (#28) NetEff -8.0
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -7.1 More โ†’ 0.307 (#28) AdjNet -7.1
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -7.1 More โ†’ 0.306 (#28) AdjNet -7.1
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 95.0 | AdjD 101.9 More โ†’ 0.348 (#28) AdjO 95.0 | AdjD 101.9
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 97.1 | AdjD 102.8 More โ†’ 0.374 (#28) AdjO 97.1 | AdjD 102.8
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.311 (#28) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.316 (#28) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 248 | GP 82 More โ†’ 843 (#28) RD 248 | GP 82

2009 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2008-10-29 vs Brooklyn Nets L 85 - 95
2008-11-01 @ Detroit Pistons L 109 - 117
2008-11-05 @ Milwaukee Bucks L 104 - 112
2008-11-07 vs New York Knicks L 108 - 114
2008-11-08 @ Orlando Magic L 81 - 106
2008-11-12 vs Utah Jazz W 95 - 87
2008-11-14 @ Miami Heat L 77 - 97
2008-11-18 vs Miami Heat L 87 - 94
2008-11-19 @ Atlanta Hawks L 87 - 91
2008-11-21 vs Houston Rockets L 91 - 103
2008-11-22 @ New York Knicks L 117 - 122
2008-11-25 vs Golden State Warriors W 124 - 100
2008-11-27 vs Orlando Magic L 90 - 105
2008-12-02 @ Brooklyn Nets W 108 - 88
2008-12-03 vs Portland Trail Blazers L 92 - 98
2008-12-05 vs Los Angeles Lakers L 104 - 106
2008-12-06 @ Chicago Bulls L 110 - 117
2008-12-09 vs Detroit Pistons W 107 - 94
2008-12-11 vs Boston Celtics L 88 - 122
2008-12-13 @ Philadelphia 76ers L 89 - 104
2008-12-15 vs Indiana Pacers L 98 - 118
2008-12-17 @ Detroit Pistons L 74 - 88
2008-12-19 vs Philadelphia 76ers L 103 - 109
2008-12-21 vs Dallas Mavericks L 86 - 97
2008-12-23 @ Charlotte Hornets L 72 - 80
2008-12-25 @ Cleveland Cavaliers L 89 - 93
2008-12-27 vs Oklahoma City Thunder W 104 - 95
2009-01-02 @ Boston Celtics L 83 - 108
2009-01-04 vs Cleveland Cavaliers W 80 - 77
2009-01-07 vs Toronto Raptors L 93 - 99
2009-01-09 @ Chicago Bulls L 86 - 98
2009-01-10 vs Charlotte Hornets L 89 - 92
2009-01-12 vs Milwaukee Bucks L 91 - 97
2009-01-14 @ New York Knicks L 122 - 128
2009-01-16 vs New York Knicks W 96 - 89
2009-01-19 @ Golden State Warriors L 98 - 119
2009-01-21 @ Sacramento Kings W 110 - 107
2009-01-22 @ Los Angeles Lakers L 97 - 117
2009-01-24 @ Portland Trail Blazers - Incomplete score
2009-01-26 vs Phoenix Suns L 87 - 103
2009-01-28 @ Miami Heat L 71 - 93
2009-01-30 @ Philadelphia 76ers L 94 - 104
2009-01-31 vs LA Clippers W 106 - 94
2009-02-02 vs Memphis Grizzlies L 97 - 113
2009-02-04 vs Brooklyn Nets L 88 - 115
2009-02-06 vs Denver Nuggets L 103 - 124
2009-02-08 vs Indiana Pacers W 119 - 117
2009-02-10 @ Atlanta Hawks L 90 - 111
2009-02-11 @ Charlotte Hornets - Incomplete score
2009-02-17 vs Minnesota Timberwolves W 111 - 103
2009-02-20 @ Brooklyn Nets W 107 - 96
2009-02-21 vs San Antonio Spurs L 67 - 98
2009-02-25 vs Philadelphia 76ers L 98 - 106
2009-02-27 vs Chicago Bulls W 113 - 90
2009-02-28 @ Milwaukee Bucks L 93 - 109
2009-03-02 vs Atlanta Hawks L 89 - 98
2009-03-04 @ Oklahoma City Thunder - Incomplete score
2009-03-06 @ San Antonio Spurs - Incomplete score
2009-03-07 @ Dallas Mavericks L 103 - 119
2009-03-09 @ Minnesota Timberwolves W 110 - 99
2009-03-11 vs New Orleans Pelicans L 98 - 109
2009-03-13 vs Orlando Magic L 103 - 112
2009-03-15 vs Sacramento Kings W 106 - 104
2009-03-17 @ Utah Jazz L 88 - 103
2009-03-18 @ LA Clippers L 108 - 123
2009-03-21 @ Phoenix Suns L 96 - 128
2009-03-23 vs Chicago Bulls L 99 - 101
2009-03-25 vs Charlotte Hornets W 95 - 93
2009-03-28 vs Detroit Pistons L 96 - 98
2009-03-29 @ Indiana Pacers L 115 - 124
2009-04-01 @ Memphis Grizzlies L 107 - 112
2009-04-02 vs Cleveland Cavaliers W 109 - 101
2009-04-04 vs Miami Heat L 104 - 118
2009-04-08 @ Cleveland Cavaliers L 86 - 98
2009-04-10 @ Toronto Raptors W 100 - 98
2009-04-13 vs Toronto Raptors L 96 - 97
2009-04-15 @ Boston Celtics L 107 - 115

2009 Roster

Counting stats use played regular-season games. PM and RAPM use their separate model samples; PM GP shows that sample's game count.

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Antawn Jamison G 72 38.3 22.2 8.9 1.9 1.2 0.3 1.6 17.7 15.2 - - - - 46.9 34.5 75.2 - 55.0 50.7
Caron Butler Caron Butler G 63 38.5 20.4 6.2 4.3 1.5 0.3 3.0 16.0 13.7 - - - - 45.0 29.2 86.2 - 54.9 47.8
Gilbert Arenas G 2 31.3 13.0 4.5 10.0 0.0 0.5 0.5 11.5 16.0 - - - - 26.1 28.6 75.0 - 43.3 30.4
Nick Young G 73 22.4 11.1 1.7 1.2 0.5 0.3 1.1 9.2 4.6 - - - - 45.3 35.2 86.9 - 54.1 49.0
Mike James G 45 29.8 10.0 2.5 3.4 0.8 0.1 1.6 9.4 5.9 - - - - 38.8 38.6 82.9 - 49.6 46.3
Andray Blatche G 63 23.4 10.0 5.4 1.6 0.8 1.1 1.6 8.7 8.4 - - - - 47.5 23.5 70.1 - 51.1 47.8
Brendan Haywood G 6 29.2 9.7 7.3 1.3 0.7 2.5 1.5 8.3 11.7 - - - - 48.0 0 47.6 - 49.0 48.0
Darius Songaila G 68 19.1 7.1 2.9 1.2 0.8 0.2 0.9 5.7 5.6 - - - - 54.1 0.0 90.4 - 57.9 54.1
JaVale McGee JaVale McGee G 67 15.5 6.8 4.0 0.3 0.5 1.1 0.8 5.3 6.4 - - - - 50.4 0 66.2 - 54.1 50.4
DeShawn Stevenson G 29 27.8 6.7 2.4 3.2 0.7 0.1 1.1 7.4 4.5 - - - - 31.5 27.9 51.1 - 41.0 39.4
Javaris Crittenton G 48 21.0 5.8 3.0 2.8 0.7 0.1 1.5 5.1 5.7 - - - - 46.7 14.3 61.1 - 49.7 47.2
Juan Dixon G 43 17.0 5.4 1.4 2.5 0.8 0.1 1.4 5.4 3.4 - - - - 39.0 30.9 85.7 - 46.9 43.5
Antonio Daniels G 12 20.9 4.7 1.6 3.7 0.4 0.0 1.0 3.2 6.2 - - - - 39.5 37.5 74.2 - 54.2 43.4
Dominic McGuire G 70 25.9 4.6 5.4 2.5 0.8 1.0 1.1 4.1 9.0 - - - - 43.6 50.0 74.2 - 48.8 43.7
Oleksiy Pecherov G 30 8.4 3.4 2.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 3.1 2.6 - - - - 38.3 32.6 81.0 - 49.9 45.7
Etan Thomas G 22 11.5 3.0 2.5 0.3 0.1 0.8 0.7 2.6 3.4 - - - - 44.8 0 68.2 - 49.5 44.8
Dee Brown G 16 14.1 2.6 1.7 2.0 0.6 0.0 0.8 2.7 3.4 - - - - 39.5 30.0 33.3 - 46.3 46.5

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG