๐Ÿปโฌ‡๏ธ๐Ÿ€

@
2009-04-13

Model Predictions

Model Toronto Raptors Washington Wizards Spread Result
Elo 71.4% 28.6% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 63.0% 37.0% - โœ“
Margin 55.2% 44.8% -1.1 โœ“ (0.1 off)
Pythagorean 55.6% 44.4% - โœ“
Efficiency 66.2% 33.8% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 64.3% 35.7% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 64.3% 35.7% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 53.1% 46.9% - โœ“

Actual: Washington Wizards -1 (96-97). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Chris Bosh * 40 7-15 1-2 10-12 15 5 2 2 4 25 30 -
Shawn Marion * 39 12-23 0-0 1-2 15 2 1 2 3 25 19 -
Jose Calderon * 36 2-8 0-2 0-0 2 12 3 0 1 4 12 -
Anthony Parker * 27 4-8 1-3 0-0 1 4 0 0 2 9 4 -
Pops Mensah-Bonsu * 20 4-10 0-0 1-3 12 1 4 0 1 9 15 -
Patrick O'Bryant * 20 4-10 0-0 0-0 1 1 2 2 0 8 4 -
Jason Kapono * 19 2-10 2-7 0-0 1 2 1 0 0 6 0 -
Joey Graham * 15 4-6 0-0 1-2 3 0 0 0 1 9 5 -
Quincy Douby * 9 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 2 1 0 2 0 0 -
Roko Ukic 5 0-4 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 -3 -
Jake Voskuhl 3 0-0 0-0 2-2 0 0 0 0 2 2 0 -

Washington Wizards

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Caron Butler * 37 9-17 2-4 8-11 10 2 3 0 4 28 22 -
Dominic McGuire * 32 1-5 0-0 2-2 9 3 1 1 3 4 10 -
Antawn Jamison * 30 10-18 1-6 2-2 7 2 1 0 2 23 13 -
Juan Dixon * 30 3-9 0-4 0-0 2 7 1 0 5 6 2 -
Brendan Haywood * 29 2-4 0-0 1-2 4 0 2 4 3 5 8 -
Nick Young * 25 3-11 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 2 2 6 -2 -
Darius Songaila * 20 2-5 0-0 4-4 6 0 0 1 0 8 10 -
Javaris Crittenton * 17 3-4 0-0 0-0 2 2 1 2 4 6 5 -
JaVale McGee * 15 4-6 0-0 2-3 7 0 1 2 1 10 13 -

* = starter