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2009-02-28

Model Predictions

Model Washington Wizards Milwaukee Bucks Spread Result
Elo 34.1% 65.9% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 23.6% 76.4% - โœ“
Margin 15.4% 84.6% +9.4 โœ“ (6.6 off)
Pythagorean 35.8% 64.2% - โœ“
Efficiency 21.6% 78.4% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 25.2% 74.8% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 25.1% 74.9% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 30.5% 69.5% - โœ“

Actual: Milwaukee Bucks +16 (109-93). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Washington Wizards

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Antawn Jamison * 39 9-16 0-2 3-6 14 2 3 0 2 21 22 -
Caron Butler * 39 6-15 0-2 7-8 4 6 1 1 6 19 10 -
Dominic McGuire * 31 3-4 0-0 0-0 1 4 1 3 1 6 10 -
Mike James * 30 2-5 1-3 2-2 3 4 1 0 1 7 9 -
Nick Young * 24 3-8 1-1 6-7 2 0 1 0 2 13 6 -
Andray Blatche * 22 2-6 0-0 4-4 1 0 0 2 0 8 5 -
Juan Dixon * 19 1-4 0-2 0-0 1 4 0 0 2 2 1 -
Darius Songaila * 16 4-5 0-0 1-1 1 1 0 0 1 9 5 -
JaVale McGee * 13 4-7 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 2 8 3 -
Oleksiy Pecherov 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Milwaukee Bucks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Richard Jefferson * 38 6-17 2-4 8-8 2 3 2 1 0 22 13 -
Charlie Bell * 33 5-8 2-5 0-0 3 3 1 1 1 12 11 -
Luc Mbah a Moute * 32 6-9 0-0 1-1 9 2 2 1 3 13 15 -
Ramon Sessions * 29 5-10 0-0 2-3 2 10 0 0 2 12 12 -
Charlie Villanueva * 27 9-13 4-5 3-4 3 2 1 0 3 25 15 -
Dan Gadzuric * 22 5-6 0-0 0-0 11 0 2 1 2 10 16 -
Luke Ridnour * 21 1-6 1-2 2-4 1 8 0 0 1 5 7 -
Francisco Elson * 15 1-3 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 1 2 2 1 -
Malik Allen * 10 1-3 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 2 1 -
Keith Bogans * 9 2-3 2-3 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 6 6 -
Damon Jones 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter