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2009-01-21

Model Predictions

Model Washington Wizards Sacramento Kings Spread Result
Elo 52.7% 47.3% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 47.4% 52.6% - โœ—
Margin 42.3% 57.7% +1.7 โœ— (4.7 off)
Pythagorean 48.8% 51.2% - โœ—
Efficiency 52.3% 47.7% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 51.7% 48.3% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 51.8% 48.2% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 46.7% 53.3% - โœ—

Actual: Sacramento Kings -3 (107-110). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Washington Wizards

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Caron Butler * 43 13-25 1-5 5-5 7 5 3 0 3 32 19 -
Antawn Jamison * 41 12-21 1-5 8-10 9 1 0 0 1 33 21 -
Dominic McGuire * 38 4-5 0-0 0-0 12 4 0 2 2 8 19 -
Mike James * 38 4-10 0-3 0-0 0 1 0 1 1 8 -1 -
Andray Blatche * 26 7-10 0-0 6-8 3 3 0 1 2 20 15 -
Darius Songaila * 20 1-5 0-0 2-2 7 2 1 0 3 4 6 -
JaVale McGee * 11 0-1 0-0 1-2 6 0 0 0 1 1 5 -
Nick Young * 10 2-5 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 4 0 -
Javaris Crittenton * 9 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

Sacramento Kings

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
John Salmons * 42 7-13 3-6 7-8 5 5 1 0 3 24 19 -
Kevin Martin * 40 5-16 4-8 8-8 3 3 2 0 1 22 13 -
Beno Udrih * 39 8-11 3-5 5-6 3 3 2 0 2 24 19 -
Spencer Hawes * 23 2-6 0-0 0-2 2 3 0 0 2 4 1 -
Brad Miller * 22 1-4 0-0 2-2 4 2 0 0 0 4 6 -
Jason Thompson * 22 5-8 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 0 1 10 7 -
Francisco Garcia * 17 5-13 2-4 2-2 3 0 0 0 0 14 4 -
Shelden Williams * 17 2-3 0-0 1-2 5 0 2 0 2 5 7 -
Bobby Jackson * 5 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -
Bobby Brown 9 0-4 0-1 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter