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2009-01-10

Model Predictions

Model Charlotte Hornets Washington Wizards Spread Result
Elo 59.2% 40.8% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 65.1% 34.9% - โœ“
Margin 61.1% 38.9% -2.5 โœ“ (0.5 off)
Pythagorean 57.8% 42.2% - โœ“
Efficiency 69.2% 30.8% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 67.0% 33.0% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 67.1% 32.9% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 56.1% 43.9% - โœ“

Actual: Washington Wizards -3 (89-92). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Charlotte Hornets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Raymond Felton * 40 2-9 1-4 4-4 3 11 1 0 6 9 9 -
Emeka Okafor * 38 4-7 0-0 1-2 6 1 0 0 2 9 7 -
Raja Bell * 38 7-17 3-9 2-2 2 5 1 0 0 19 10 -
Boris Diaw * 31 8-13 2-3 0-0 3 3 0 1 2 18 10 -
Adam Morrison * 22 4-6 1-1 2-2 2 3 2 0 2 11 10 -
Gerald Wallace * 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 0 0 0 6 -
Juwan Howard * 17 6-9 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 2 0 12 9 -
Shannon Brown * 11 3-3 1-1 2-2 0 0 1 0 0 9 7 -
Nazr Mohammed * 9 0-1 0-0 2-4 3 0 0 0 0 2 4 -
D.J. Augustin * 4 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 3 0 -
Sean Singletary 6 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 0 -2 -

Washington Wizards

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Andray Blatche * 35 7-13 0-0 0-0 10 4 0 0 4 14 11 -
Caron Butler * 34 4-9 0-1 11-12 1 1 1 0 4 19 9 -
Antawn Jamison * 33 5-13 0-1 3-6 5 3 1 0 0 13 9 -
Dominic McGuire * 27 3-5 0-0 1-1 5 3 1 1 1 7 11 -
Nick Young * 25 6-9 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 1 12 5 -
Javaris Crittenton * 22 2-5 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 2 4 0 -
Mike James * 22 1-4 1-1 2-2 2 2 0 0 1 5 4 -
JaVale McGee * 18 4-4 0-0 1-4 4 1 1 1 0 9 12 -
Darius Songaila * 15 2-2 0-0 2-3 3 0 0 0 1 6 6 -
Juan Dixon 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -

* = starter