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2009-01-19

Model Predictions

Model Washington Wizards Golden State Warriors Spread Result
Elo 34.4% 65.6% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 29.9% 70.1% - โœ“
Margin 23.5% 76.5% +6.5 โœ“ (14.5 off)
Pythagorean 39.4% 60.6% - โœ“
Efficiency 32.0% 68.0% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 34.2% 65.8% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 34.2% 65.8% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 36.3% 63.7% - โœ“

Actual: Golden State Warriors +21 (119-98). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Washington Wizards

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Caron Butler * 40 9-20 2-7 2-3 3 1 1 0 3 22 4 -
Antawn Jamison * 38 9-17 1-3 3-4 5 0 1 0 1 22 10 -
Mike James * 35 2-9 1-4 2-2 2 5 0 0 3 7 2 -
Andray Blatche * 33 10-19 0-0 2-2 9 2 2 1 2 22 15 -
Dominic McGuire * 32 2-6 0-0 1-3 11 6 3 1 2 5 18 -
Nick Young * 23 2-9 1-3 2-3 3 2 0 0 0 7 3 -
Darius Songaila * 14 3-6 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 0 1 6 3 -
Javaris Crittenton * 14 2-2 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 1 4 4 -
JaVale McGee 4 1-1 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 0 3 3 -
Oleksiy Pecherov 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Golden State Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jamal Crawford * 48 12-25 4-9 0-0 3 8 0 1 4 28 11 -
Stephen Jackson * 41 10-17 3-5 3-3 6 5 0 0 5 26 15 -
Kelenna Azubuike * 40 5-10 3-4 4-6 3 1 0 2 1 17 12 -
Andris Biedrins * 31 2-5 0-0 3-4 15 3 1 1 0 7 22 -
Corey Maggette * 26 5-7 0-0 6-6 4 4 0 0 2 16 15 -
Anthony Morrow * 22 4-7 3-3 0-0 3 3 1 1 0 11 12 -
Ronny Turiaf * 14 3-6 0-0 1-1 3 3 0 0 0 7 7 -
Anthony Randolph * 10 3-6 0-0 0-0 3 1 1 0 1 6 4 -
Jermareo Davidson 1 0-0 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 -
Rob Kurz 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter