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Virginia Cavaliers

Also known as: Virginia Cavaliers
Program History

2016 Team Stats (32 games)

70.0
PPG
60.5
Opp
+9.5
Margin
48.2%
FG%
38.9%
3P%
75.0%
FT%
32.0
RPG
14.6
APG
9.3
TO
69.9
Pace

Model Outputs

2015-2016
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1690 (#21) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1620 (#8) -
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More → +37.7 (#25) HCA +2.8
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.773 (#10) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +11.8 More → 0.782 (#8) NetEff +11.8
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +21.2 More → 0.921 (#3) AdjNet +21.2
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +21.3 More → 0.921 (#3) AdjNet +21.3

2016 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2015-11-13 vs Morgan State Bears W 86 - 48
2015-11-16 @ George Washington Revolutionaries L 68 - 73
2015-11-25 vs Lehigh Mountain Hawks W 80 - 54
2015-12-05 vs William & Mary Tribe W 67 - 52
2015-12-19 vs Villanova Wildcats W 86 - 75
2015-12-22 vs California Golden Bears W 63 - 62
2015-12-30 vs Oakland Golden Grizzlies W 71 - 58
2016-01-02 vs Notre Dame Fighting Irish W 77 - 66
2016-01-04 @ Virginia Tech Hokies L 68 - 70
2016-01-09 @ Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets L 64 - 68
2016-01-12 vs Miami Hurricanes W 66 - 58
2016-01-17 @ Florida State Seminoles L 62 - 69
2016-01-19 vs Clemson Tigers W 69 - 62
2016-01-24 vs Syracuse Orange W 73 - 65
2016-01-26 @ Wake Forest Demon Deacons W 72 - 71
2016-01-30 @ Louisville Cardinals W 63 - 47
2016-02-03 vs Boston College Eagles W 61 - 47
2016-02-06 @ Pittsburgh Panthers W 64 - 50
2016-02-09 vs Virginia Tech Hokies W 67 - 49
2016-02-13 @ Duke Blue Devils L 62 - 63
2016-02-15 vs NC State Wolfpack W 73 - 53
2016-02-22 @ Miami Hurricanes L 61 - 64
2016-02-27 vs North Carolina Tar Heels W 79 - 74
2016-03-01 @ Clemson Tigers W 64 - 57
2016-03-05 vs Louisville Cardinals W 68 - 46
2016-03-10 vs Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets W 72 - 52
2016-03-11 vs Miami Hurricanes W 73 - 68
2016-03-12 @ North Carolina Tar Heels L 57 - 61
2016-03-17 vs Hampton Pirates W 81 - 45
2016-03-19 vs Butler Bulldogs W 77 - 69
2016-03-25 vs Iowa State Cyclones W 84 - 71
2016-03-27 vs Syracuse Orange L 62 - 68

2016 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
M. Brogdon M. Brogdon G 32 34.6 18.6 4.1 3.1 1.0 0.2 1.4 13.4 12.2 38 1.4 1.6 46.3 39.4 90.8 1.64 60.4 53.6
A. Gill A. Gill F 32 28.2 13.7 5.9 0.8 0.6 0.7 1.2 8.7 11.8 83 2.9 3.8 57.4 100.0 74.5 1.74 64.4 57.8
L. Perrantes L. Perrantes G 31 33.7 10.6 3.0 4.1 1.1 0.1 1.8 8.0 9.1 67 2.7 3.5 40.9 46.1 80.0 1.63 59.2 54.0
M. Tobey M. Tobey C 32 16.1 7.5 4.6 0.4 0.3 0.7 0.7 5.2 7.5 68 2.8 3.6 59.3 22.2 61.5 1.54 64.9 59.9
I. Wilkins I. Wilkins F 32 21.8 4.7 4.2 1.6 0.7 0.8 0.8 3.9 7.3 37 1.5 2.6 50.0 0.0 54.3 1.39 53.8 50.0
Dallin Hall Dallin Hall G 32 22.3 4.2 2.7 2.1 0.4 0.3 1.0 4.0 4.8 103 4.1 6.6 34.4 28.8 76.9 1.6 48.8 40.2
M. Shayok M. Shayok G 30 14.4 3.9 1.9 1.0 0.3 0.1 0.8 3.0 3.4 49 1.9 2.7 48.4 41.4 56.7 1.45 56.1 54.9
D. Thompson D. Thompson G 32 16.6 3.8 1.1 1.3 0.8 0.2 0.7 2.5 4.0 -17 -0.7 -1.2 51.9 36.4 63.0 1.18 67.7 59.5
E. Nolte E. Nolte F 29 9.2 2.0 0.7 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.3 1.7 1.6 27 1.7 2.7 43.8 34.4 50.0 1.09 58.3 55.2
J. Reuter J. Reuter F 22 4.1 1.5 0.8 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.0 1.3 - - - 42.9 0 80.0 0.09 66.9 42.9
J. Salt J. Salt C 17 4.7 0.9 0.9 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.8 0.9 - - - 35.7 0 33.3 - 52.2 35.7
C. Kirven C. Kirven F 12 1.2 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.3 - - - 50.0 50.0 0 - 62.5 62.5
J. Jones J. Jones F 10 1.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 -0.2 117 4.7 4.9 0.0 0.0 0 1.68 0.0 0.0
J. Bartley J. Bartley G 8 1.5 0.0 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.6 0.1 -0.2 - - - 0.0 0 0 - 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG