Model Predictions
| Model | Louisville Cardinals | Virginia Cavaliers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 19.8% | 80.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 36.3% | 63.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 25.0% | 75.0% | +6.1 | ✓ (15.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.6% | 57.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 24.3% | 75.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 24.3% | 75.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 24.2% | 75.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Virginia Cavaliers +22 (68-46). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Louisville Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Lee * | 35 | 3-13 | 1-8 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 1 | -7.6 |
| T. Lewis * | 29 | 2-9 | 1-4 | 2-3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 2 | - |
| C. Onuaku * | 20 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - |
| D. Adel * | 18 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -5.9 |
| Q. Snider * | 15 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.3 |
| D. Mitchell | 21 | 3-10 | 1-5 | 4-4 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 10 | - |
| J. Johnson | 20 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| R. Spalding | 17 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| M. Stockman | 17 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| D. Levitch | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -3.4 |
| D. Avare | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Virginia Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Brogdon * | 37 | 4-11 | 0-4 | 9-11 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 7 | - |
| L. Perrantes * | 36 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 8 | +12.8 |
| M. Tobey * | 25 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 27 | +12.6 |
| A. Gill * | 24 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 15 | +12.9 |
| E. Nolte * | 16 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| D. Hall | 20 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | +7.9 |
| I. Wilkins | 19 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | -5.6 |
| D. Thompson | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Shayok | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | +4.7 |
| J. Salt | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Bartley | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| J. Reuter | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Jones | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C. Kirven | 1 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
* = starter