🐻⬇️🏀

Notre Dame Fighting Irish 66
@
Virginia Cavaliers 77
2016-01-02

Model Predictions

Model Notre Dame Fighting Irish Virginia Cavaliers Spread Result
Elo 7.5% 92.5% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 32.9% 67.1% - ✓
Margin 17.8% 82.2% +8.4 ✓ (2.6 off)
Pythagorean 28.5% 71.5% - ✓
Efficiency 4.2% 95.8% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 6.7% 93.3% - ✓
Log Adjusted 6.5% 93.5% - ✓

Actual: Virginia Cavaliers +11 (77-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Notre Dame Fighting Irish

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Jackson * 39 7-17 4-10 0-0 1 6 2 1 1 18 10 +8.3
S. Vasturia * 38 6-11 2-4 0-0 2 1 2 0 1 14 7 +8.5
B. Colson * 36 5-10 0-1 4-4 8 0 0 0 1 14 11 +9.7
V.J. Beachem * 29 5-8 0-3 0-1 2 0 1 0 0 10 5 -
Z. Auguste * 22 0-2 0-0 1-2 2 1 0 0 3 1 -1 -
M. Ryan 17 3-6 1-4 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 7 4 -
A. Torres 14 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 2 +5.7
M. Farrell 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 +3.5
A. Burgett 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

Virginia Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Perrantes * 35 1-5 1-3 0-0 5 5 0 0 2 3 6 -3.2
M. Brogdon * 34 9-14 2-5 4-6 3 1 0 0 1 24 13 -
A. Gill * 33 7-10 0-0 7-11 6 1 1 0 1 21 18 -7.2
I. Wilkins * 32 1-3 0-0 0-0 2 4 0 2 0 2 7 -
D. Thompson * 29 3-4 0-1 1-2 2 1 2 0 1 7 7 -7.7
D. Hall 17 2-4 1-2 0-0 3 4 0 0 0 5 8 +4.1
M. Tobey 15 5-9 0-0 5-5 6 1 1 2 1 15 15 -3.3
M. Shayok 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -1.7

* = starter