Model Predictions
| Model | Virginia Cavaliers | Louisville Cardinals | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 67.0% | 33.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 49.6% | 50.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 51.7% | 48.3% | -0.4 | ✓ (15.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.4% | 48.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 69.7% | 30.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 69.7% | 30.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 69.8% | 30.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Louisville Cardinals -16 (47-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Virginia Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Perrantes * | 35 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 3-4 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 11 | -4.6 |
| M. Brogdon * | 34 | 6-13 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 9 | - |
| A. Gill * | 28 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 10 | +3.2 |
| I. Wilkins * | 22 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | +7.4 |
| D. Hall * | 14 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| M. Tobey | 22 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 8 | +2.9 |
| D. Thompson | 21 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | +2.3 |
| M. Shayok | 13 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | -4.8 |
| E. Nolte | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C. Kirven | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Bartley | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| J. Reuter | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Jones | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Salt | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Louisville Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q. Snider * | 32 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 7 | +2.1 |
| D. Lee * | 28 | 2-7 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 1 | +2.1 |
| A. Mahmoud * | 22 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | +6.7 |
| T. Lewis * | 22 | 1-6 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -2 | - |
| J. Johnson * | 16 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| D. Adel | 21 | 5-9 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 6 | +1.1 |
| R. Spalding | 20 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 10 | - |
| C. Onuaku | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | - |
| D. Mitchell | 16 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| M. Stockman | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter