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2016-03-27

Model Predictions

Model Syracuse Orange Virginia Cavaliers Spread Result
Elo 15.2% 84.8% -
Bradley-Terry 30.1% 69.9% -
Margin 20.5% 79.5% +7.5 (13.5 off)
Pythagorean 36.2% 63.8% -
Efficiency 9.4% 90.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 19.3% 80.7% -
Log Adjusted 19.3% 80.7% -

Actual: Virginia Cavaliers -6 (62-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Syracuse Orange

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Gbinije * 39 4-13 0-4 3-6 4 6 2 0 2 11 8 +11.0
M. Richardson * 36 6-16 3-7 8-9 7 0 2 0 3 23 13 -
T. Cooney * 36 4-11 0-1 0-0 2 3 4 0 0 8 6 +10.8
T. Roberson * 34 4-6 0-0 2-2 8 0 2 0 2 10 12 -
D. Coleman * 14 0-3 0-0 3-4 7 0 0 2 0 3 9 -
T. Lydon 32 3-7 3-5 2-2 6 0 0 5 0 11 15 -
F. Howard 9 0-1 0-1 2-2 0 1 1 0 0 2 3 -

Virginia Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Brogdon * 37 2-14 1-6 7-7 7 7 1 1 2 12 12 -
L. Perrantes * 33 6-12 6-10 0-0 3 1 0 0 3 18 7 -6.2
D. Hall * 33 1-5 0-2 0-1 4 5 1 1 2 2 6 -
A. Gill * 24 4-4 0-0 2-2 3 1 1 2 2 10 11 +12.7
I. Wilkins * 23 0-3 0-0 0-0 5 3 0 1 0 0 6 +12.4
M. Tobey 18 5-8 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 2 1 10 8 -
E. Nolte 13 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 -19.3
D. Thompson 13 4-4 1-1 0-0 1 1 0 1 2 9 6 -19.2
M. Shayok 6 0-1 0-0 1-2 2 1 0 0 1 1 2 +12.5

* = starter