Model Predictions
| Model | Virginia Cavaliers | Miami Hurricanes | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 77.0% | 23.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 57.7% | 42.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 52.7% | 47.3% | -0.6 | ✗ (3.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.1% | 48.9% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 72.3% | 27.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 64.0% | 36.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 64.1% | 35.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Miami Hurricanes +3 (64-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Virginia Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Perrantes * | 35 | 3-11 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 8 | -5.9 |
| M. Brogdon * | 35 | 12-18 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 28 | 13 | - |
| I. Wilkins * | 29 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -6.3 |
| A. Gill * | 28 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 12 | -5.1 |
| D. Hall * | 14 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| M. Shayok | 20 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -6.2 |
| D. Thompson | 18 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| M. Tobey | 16 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | +10.2 |
| J. Reuter | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
Miami Hurricanes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Mac * | 37 | 3-10 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 6 | - |
| A. Rodriguez * | 34 | 3-10 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | -2 | - |
| K. Murphy * | 33 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 12 | +3.3 |
| T. Jekiri * | 32 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 14 | +3.1 |
| D. Reed * | 31 | 6-8 | 5-6 | 4-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 14 | +3.2 |
| J. Newton | 17 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| A. Lawrence II | 8 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | - |
| I. Cruz Uceda | 5 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | +7.4 |
| J. Palmer Jr. | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +7.5 |
* = starter