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2016-03-01

Model Predictions

Model Virginia Cavaliers Clemson Tigers Spread Result
Elo 27.7% 72.3% -
Bradley-Terry 65.8% 34.2% -
Margin 45.1% 54.9% +1.1 (8.1 off)
Pythagorean 61.4% 38.6% -
Efficiency 86.7% 13.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 79.4% 20.6% -
Log Adjusted 79.4% 20.6% -

Actual: Clemson Tigers -7 (57-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Virginia Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Brogdon * 39 6-14 4-7 2-2 4 3 1 1 1 18 12 -
L. Perrantes * 35 4-9 3-8 2-2 4 4 2 0 1 13 13 +6.6
D. Hall * 32 3-5 1-2 2-2 7 1 0 0 0 9 12 +6.6
A. Gill * 32 4-11 0-0 3-3 10 1 3 0 1 11 13 +5.6
I. Wilkins * 15 1-3 0-0 2-4 2 0 0 0 2 4 1 -0.6
M. Shayok 23 3-5 1-1 2-2 5 1 0 0 0 9 10 +5.9
M. Tobey 10 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 2 1 0 3 0 -1 -
D. Thompson 9 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -0.7
E. Nolte 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
J. Reuter 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Clemson Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Blossomgame * 36 10-16 4-6 7-9 5 1 2 1 3 31 21 -1.8
D. Grantham * 33 1-6 1-5 0-0 2 2 0 0 0 3 1 -4.5
J. Roper * 30 1-5 0-1 0-2 4 1 1 0 2 2 1 -
A. Holmes * 29 0-6 0-3 1-2 4 1 2 0 2 1 0 +2.6
L. Nnoko * 28 4-6 0-0 0-0 6 1 1 2 1 8 11 +2.5
G. DeVoe 26 2-5 1-2 2-2 2 6 0 0 3 7 7 -4.5
S. Djitte 12 2-2 0-0 1-1 1 0 0 2 1 5 5 -5.4
J. Smith 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
T. Hudson 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +1.9

* = starter