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Villanova

Season: 2027 preview 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: Villanova Wildcats, Villanova
Program History
Coach: Jay Wright

2017 Team Stats (28 games)

77.3
PPG
62.0
Opp
+15.3
Margin
50.0%
FG%
37.4%
3P%
78.7%
FT%
33.6
RPG
14.1
APG
11.6
TO
-
Est. poss./game
79.3
Adj PPG
58.0
Adj Opp PPG
#4
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2016-2017
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1553 (#2) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1418 (#2) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +89 elo More → 1166 (#15) HCA +89 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.6 More → +22.7 (#4) HCA +2.6
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.6 More → +20.9 (#6) HCA +2.6
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.917 (#5) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +32.2 More → 0.977 (#2) AdjNet +32.2
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +32.5 More → 0.977 (#2) AdjNet +32.5
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 79.3 | AdjD 58.0 More → 0.874 (#4) AdjO 79.3 | AdjD 58.0
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 75.6 | AdjD 60.9 More → 0.792 (#6) AdjO 75.6 | AdjD 60.9
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.913 (#4) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.903 (#7) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 112 | GP 36 More → 1424 (#3) RD 112 | GP 36

2017 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2016-11-11 vs Lafayette Leopards W 88 - 48
2016-11-14 @ Purdue Boilermakers W 79 - 76
2016-11-17 vs Western Michigan Broncos W 76 - 65
2016-11-18 @ Wake Forest Demon Deacons W 96 - 77
2016-11-20 @ UCF Knights W 67 - 57
2016-11-23 vs Charleston Cougars W 63 - 47
2016-11-29 @ Pennsylvania Quakers W 82 - 57
2016-12-03 vs Saint Joseph's Hawks W 88 - 57
2016-12-06 @ La Salle Explorers W 89 - 79
2016-12-10 vs Notre Dame Fighting Irish W 74 - 66
2016-12-13 vs Temple Owls W 78 - 57
2016-12-21 vs American University Eagles W 90 - 48
2016-12-28 vs DePaul Blue Demons W 68 - 65
2016-12-31 @ Creighton Bluejays W 80 - 70
2017-01-04 @ Butler Bulldogs L 58 - 66
2017-01-07 vs Marquette Golden Eagles W 93 - 81
2017-01-10 vs Xavier Musketeers W 79 - 54
2017-01-14 @ St. John's Red Storm W 70 - 57
2017-01-16 vs Seton Hall Pirates W 76 - 46
2017-01-21 vs Providence Friars W 78 - 68
2017-01-24 @ Marquette Golden Eagles L 72 - 74
2017-01-29 vs Virginia Cavaliers W 61 - 59
2017-02-01 @ Providence Friars W 66 - 57
2017-02-04 vs St. John's Red Storm W 92 - 79
2017-02-07 vs Georgetown Hoyas W 75 - 64
2017-02-11 @ Xavier Musketeers W 73 - 57
2017-02-13 @ DePaul Blue Demons W 75 - 62
2017-02-18 @ Seton Hall Pirates W 92 - 70
2017-02-22 vs Butler Bulldogs L 66 - 74
2017-02-25 vs Creighton Bluejays W 79 - 63
2017-03-04 @ Georgetown Hoyas W 81 - 55
2017-03-09 vs St. John's Red Storm W 108 - 67
2017-03-10 vs Seton Hall Pirates W 55 - 53
2017-03-11 vs Creighton Bluejays W 74 - 60
2017-03-16 vs Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers W 76 - 56
2017-03-18 vs Wisconsin Badgers L 62 - 65

2017 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Josh Hart Josh Hart G 35 33.1 18.8 6.3 2.9 1.5 0.3 2.0 11.2 16.7 367 33 11.1 14.5 49.2 38.0 71.2 4.75 73.2 56.9
Jalen Brunson Jalen Brunson - 35 31.1 14.7 2.6 4.1 0.8 0.0 2.1 8.3 11.9 340 33 10.3 14.3 55.7 39.4 87.3 3.94 74.9 62.4
Kris Jenkins Kris Jenkins F 35 31.3 13.1 4.2 2.1 1.0 0.3 1.4 9.1 10.2 326 33 9.9 13.9 38.5 36.2 86.0 2.3 63.6 50.3
Mikal Bridges Mikal Bridges - 35 30.1 9.9 4.6 2.0 1.7 0.9 1.3 5.5 12.1 318 33 9.6 13.7 54.1 41.2 93.5 2.65 80.5 64.4
Donte DiVincenzo Donte DiVincenzo - 35 25.8 8.9 3.9 1.7 0.9 0.3 1.5 5.7 8.6 278 33 8.4 14.9 48.2 37.0 72.0 2.57 67.2 56.8
Phil Booth Phil Booth G 2 24.5 7.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 1.5 4.5 5.0 - - - - 22.2 20.0 100.0 -1.0 70.9 27.8
Eric Paschall Eric Paschall - 35 21.7 6.9 3.9 0.6 0.5 0.5 1.2 4.4 6.9 229 33 6.9 14.3 52.3 26.0 66.7 1.24 69.0 56.5
Darryl Reynolds Darryl Reynolds F 30 23.5 4.5 5.4 0.6 0.5 0.9 1.1 2.0 8.7 125 29 4.3 7.8 71.7 0 64.5 -4.04 91.0 71.7
Dylan Painter Dylan Painter F 21 6.0 1.0 1.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.7 -5 20 -0.2 -2.3 41.7 0.0 70.0 -3.98 61.0 41.7
Tim Delaney Tim Delaney F 7 3.7 0.4 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.1 -5 7 -0.7 -8.1 50.0 50.0 0 -3.42 75.0 75.0
Tom Leibig Tom Leibig F 7 1.6 0.0 0.4 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.6 -1 5 -0.2 -6.0 0 0 0.0 -1.2 0.0 0
Matt Kennedy Matt Kennedy G 7 1.9 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 -5 5 -1.0 -29.3 0 0 0 -2.15 0 0
Denny Grace Denny Grace G 7 1.3 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 -5 6 -0.8 -28.0 0 0 0 -2.12 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG