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2017-01-24

Model Predictions

Model Villanova Wildcats Marquette Golden Eagles Spread Result
Elo 78.4% 21.6% -10.8 โœ— (12.8 off)
Bradley-Terry 77.1% 22.9% - โœ—
Margin 75.1% 24.9% -6.1 โœ— (8.1 off)
Pythagorean 52.8% 47.2% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 83.6% 16.4% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 83.7% 16.3% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 62.1% 37.9% - โœ—

Actual: Marquette Golden Eagles +2 (74-72). Ratings: 2016-17 season-end ratings.

Villanova Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kris Jenkins * 37 0-7 0-6 2-2 2 3 1 0 0 2 1 -
Jalen Brunson * 35 7-13 0-5 5-5 4 4 3 0 3 19 14 -
Mikal Bridges * 34 7-16 4-10 2-2 6 2 2 0 1 20 13 -
Darryl Reynolds * 32 4-8 0-0 1-2 6 1 0 4 0 9 12 -
Josh Hart * 19 6-10 2-5 2-4 8 1 3 1 2 16 17 -
Donte DiVincenzo 24 2-9 0-6 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 4 -4 -
Eric Paschall 19 1-4 0-2 0-1 7 1 1 0 1 2 6 -

Marquette Golden Eagles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Haanif Cheatham * 31 2-5 0-0 4-6 7 1 1 0 0 8 12 -
Sam Hauser * 31 2-5 1-3 0-0 6 2 0 1 0 5 9 -
Jajuan Johnson * 29 4-8 0-2 0-0 4 4 0 0 5 8 3 -
Luke Fischer * 28 7-10 0-0 1-6 4 1 0 0 2 15 8 -
Markus Howard * 7 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -3 -
Katin Reinhardt 32 5-10 4-7 5-6 2 4 1 1 2 19 15 -
Andrew Rowsey 22 3-6 2-5 0-0 5 4 0 0 1 8 10 -
Duane Wilson 18 3-7 2-2 3-4 3 1 1 1 0 11 10 -
Matt Heldt 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter