Model Predictions
| Model | Villanova Wildcats | Pennsylvania Quakers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 92.9% | 7.1% | -20.1 | ✓ (4.9 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 90.7% | 9.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 97.2% | 2.8% | -19.4 | ✓ (5.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 60.1% | 39.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 96.2% | 3.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 96.2% | 3.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 83.1% | 16.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Pennsylvania Quakers -25 (57-82). Ratings: 2016-17 season-end ratings.
Villanova Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kris Jenkins * | 31 | 7-11 | 6-7 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 16 | - |
| Mikal Bridges * | 30 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Jalen Brunson * | 29 | 5-10 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 2 | - |
| Darryl Reynolds * | 27 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 13 | - |
| Donte DiVincenzo * | 24 | 3-6 | 3-5 | 4-4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 11 | - |
| Josh Hart | 28 | 4-7 | 1-4 | 3-3 | 6 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 20 | - |
| Eric Paschall | 20 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 2-6 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Dylan Painter | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Tom Leibig | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Denny Grace | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Matt Kennedy | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Pennsylvania Quakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AJ Brodeur * | 31 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Matt Howard * | 28 | 2-8 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -1 | - |
| Darnell Foreman * | 24 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Jackson Donahue * | 23 | 4-11 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 4 | - |
| Matt MacDonald * | 19 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Caleb Wood | 23 | 1-6 | 1-5 | 4-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 1 | - |
| Max Rothschild | 15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Jake Silpe | 14 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - |
| Tyler Hamilton | 13 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Sam Jones | 5 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Collin McManus | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Kuba Mijakowski | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Ray Jerome | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Devon Goodman | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
* = starter