Model Predictions
| Model | Villanova Wildcats | St. John's Red Storm | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 86.2% | 13.8% | -14.7 | ✓ (1.7 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 87.6% | 12.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 93.2% | 6.8% | -14.4 | ✓ (1.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 65.1% | 34.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 94.0% | 6.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 94.1% | 5.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 77.3% | 22.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: St. John's Red Storm -13 (57-70). Ratings: 2016-17 season-end ratings.
Villanova Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Brunson * | 37 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Mikal Bridges * | 34 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Josh Hart * | 33 | 4-13 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 3 | - |
| Kris Jenkins * | 25 | 1-10 | 1-7 | 7-9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Darryl Reynolds * | 14 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | - |
| Donte DiVincenzo | 31 | 7-10 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 12 | - |
| Eric Paschall | 26 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 7 | - |
St. John's Red Storm
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcus LoVett * | 37 | 4-12 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 6 | - |
| Shamorie Ponds * | 32 | 5-11 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 6 | - |
| Bashir Ahmed * | 31 | 3-11 | 2-8 | 3-4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 2 | - |
| Malik Ellison * | 30 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Kassoum Yakwe * | 27 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Tariq Owens | 20 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - |
| Federico Mussini | 17 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | - |
| Darien Williams | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Amar Alibegovic | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter