Model Predictions
| Model | Villanova Wildcats | Creighton Bluejays | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 73.9% | 26.1% | -8.9 | ✓ (1.1 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 66.3% | 33.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 67.6% | 32.4% | -4.0 | ✓ (6.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.2% | 48.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 79.5% | 20.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 79.7% | 20.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 57.9% | 42.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Creighton Bluejays -10 (70-80). Ratings: 2016-17 season-end ratings.
Villanova Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Brunson * | 35 | 10-14 | 5-7 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 27 | 20 | - |
| Kris Jenkins * | 34 | 6-14 | 4-12 | 5-5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 21 | 11 | - |
| Josh Hart * | 34 | 7-11 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 18 | 17 | - |
| Mikal Bridges * | 28 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Darryl Reynolds * | 21 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Donte DiVincenzo | 25 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Eric Paschall | 23 | 4-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - |
Creighton Bluejays
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcus Foster * | 37 | 9-20 | 2-11 | 2-3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 4 | - |
| Khyri Thomas * | 32 | 3-8 | 0-4 | 1-2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Maurice Watson Jr. * | 31 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Justin Patton * | 28 | 9-12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 14 | - |
| Cole Huff * | 27 | 4-6 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Isaiah Zierden | 24 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Toby Hegner | 17 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Martin Krampelj | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter