Model Predictions
| Model | Villanova Wildcats | UCF Knights | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 81.9% | 18.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 77.4% | 22.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 88.6% | 11.4% | -11.3 | ✓ (1.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.3% | 47.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 90.7% | 9.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 90.8% | 9.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 71.3% | 28.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UCF Knights -10 (57-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Villanova Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mikal Bridges * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 22 | - |
| Josh Hart * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 20 | - |
| Kris Jenkins * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 17 | - |
| Jalen Brunson * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 14 | - |
| Darryl Reynolds * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Donte DiVincenzo | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 19 | - |
| Eric Paschall | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
UCF Knights
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B.J. Taylor * | 40 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 19 | - |
| Matt Williams * | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 23 | - |
| Tacko Fall * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 32 | - |
| Tanksley Efianayi * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Nick Banyard * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | - |
| Djordjije Mumin | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | - |
| Chad Brown | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | - |
| Nathan Laing | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter