Model Predictions
| Model | American University Eagles | Villanova Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 0.5% | 99.5% | +38.0 | ✓ (4.0 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.9% | 98.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 0.2% | 99.8% | +34.4 | ✓ (7.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 17.1% | 82.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 4.8% | 95.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Villanova Wildcats +42 (90-48). Ratings: 2016-17 season-end ratings.
American University Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leon Tolksdorf | 16 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Charlie Jones * | 38 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Delante Jones * | 38 | 5-14 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | -1 | - |
| Sa'eed Nelson * | 35 | 4-15 | 0-4 | 3-4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 0 | - |
| Mark Gasperini * | 11 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Lonnie Rivera | 24 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -4 | - |
| Matt Cimino | 24 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Jalen Rhea | 8 | 3-4 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Andrija Matic | 6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
Villanova Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kris Jenkins * | 30 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 13 | - |
| Jalen Brunson * | 30 | 5-9 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 10 | - |
| Mikal Bridges * | 30 | 5-8 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 16 | - |
| Josh Hart * | 30 | 7-14 | 2-7 | 4-4 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 16 | - |
| Darryl Reynolds * | 21 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Donte DiVincenzo | 23 | 4-5 | 1-2 | 3-6 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 15 | - |
| Eric Paschall | 20 | 5-6 | 1-1 | 4-5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 12 | - |
| Dylan Painter | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Tim Delaney | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Matt Kennedy | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Denny Grace | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter