Model Predictions
| Model | St. John's Red Storm | Villanova Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 4.8% | 95.2% | +20.5 | ✓ (7.5 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 7.4% | 92.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 2.8% | 97.2% | +19.6 | ✓ (6.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 28.9% | 71.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 14.6% | 85.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Villanova Wildcats +13 (92-79). Ratings: 2016-17 season-end ratings.
St. John's Red Storm
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tariq Owens * | 28 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Bashir Ahmed * | 25 | 7-17 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 4 | - |
| Kassoum Yakwe * | 23 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Shamorie Ponds * | 22 | 4-10 | 2-4 | 5-6 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 11 | - |
| Malik Ellison * | 22 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Marcus LoVett | 28 | 9-17 | 2-7 | 3-4 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 16 | - |
| Federico Mussini | 24 | 3-7 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Darien Williams | 14 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Richard Freudenberg | 8 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Amar Alibegovic | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
Villanova Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Hart * | 35 | 8-16 | 2-6 | 8-9 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 26 | 20 | - |
| Mikal Bridges * | 30 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 6-6 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 16 | - |
| Eric Paschall * | 29 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Jalen Brunson * | 24 | 5-8 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Darryl Reynolds * | 19 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Donte DiVincenzo | 28 | 7-11 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 20 | 13 | - |
| Kris Jenkins | 24 | 4-10 | 2-6 | 5-5 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 13 | - |
| Dylan Painter | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | - |
* = starter