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2017-03-11

Model Predictions

Model Creighton Bluejays Villanova Wildcats Spread Result
Elo 10.1% 89.9% +14.7 โœ“ (0.7 off)
Bradley-Terry 22.3% 77.7% - โœ“
Margin 15.8% 84.2% +9.2 โœ“ (4.8 off)
Pythagorean 42.8% 57.2% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 14.5% 85.5% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 14.3% 85.7% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 29.7% 70.3% - โœ“

Actual: Villanova Wildcats +14 (74-60). Ratings: 2016-17 season-end ratings.

Creighton Bluejays

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Khyri Thomas * 33 2-7 1-3 1-2 3 1 1 1 5 6 0 -
Marcus Foster * 32 5-13 1-5 2-2 3 2 0 0 4 13 1 -
Justin Patton * 27 5-8 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 1 10 6 -
Cole Huff * 24 4-8 2-5 3-3 0 1 0 0 2 13 4 -
Davion Mintz * 18 1-3 0-1 0-0 1 2 1 0 0 2 3 -
Isaiah Zierden 18 1-5 1-4 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 3 1 -
Toby Hegner 14 0-3 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 2 0 -2 -
Ronnie Harrell Jr. 13 4-6 1-3 0-1 7 3 1 0 1 9 13 -
Tyler Clement 8 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 0 0 -
Zach Hanson 8 2-3 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 0 0 4 5 -
Martin Krampelj 3 0-0 0-0 0-1 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
Jordan Scurry 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
Kobe Paras 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Villanova Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Josh Hart * 36 9-18 4-8 7-8 6 2 0 0 3 29 16 -
Jalen Brunson * 34 5-7 3-4 4-5 2 5 0 0 2 17 15 -
Mikal Bridges * 32 2-6 0-4 1-1 5 2 1 2 2 5 7 -
Kris Jenkins * 24 6-13 2-6 0-1 2 2 1 1 3 14 4 -
Darryl Reynolds * 20 1-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 2 0 0 2 6 -
Eric Paschall 28 0-1 0-1 2-2 5 0 2 0 0 2 8 -
Donte DiVincenzo 22 2-8 0-3 1-2 8 3 2 0 4 5 6 -
Dylan Painter 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter