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UMBC Retrievers

Also known as: UMBC Retrievers
Program History

2026 Team Stats (27 games)

61.3
PPG
58.4
Opp
+2.9
Margin
37.4%
FG%
30.3%
3P%
70.1%
FT%
36.9
RPG
9.7
APG
14.9
TO
81.5
Pace
59.8
AdjO
62.8
AdjD
#198
Rank

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1112 (#110) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 992 (#180) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +113 elo More → 1082 (#88) HCA +113 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.3 More → -2.8 (#195) HCA +2.3
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.8 More → +15.8 (#122) HCA +2.8
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.503 (#170) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -2.1 More → 0.429 (#195) NetEff -2.1
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -3.8 More → 0.391 (#195) AdjNet -3.8
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -4.0 More → 0.385 (#196) AdjNet -4.0
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 59.8 | AdjD 62.8 More → 0.431 (#198) AdjO 59.8 | AdjD 62.8
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 63.0 | AdjD 56.7 More → 0.639 (#102) AdjO 63.0 | AdjD 56.7
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.801 (#137) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.781 (#130) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 109 | GP 27 More → 1123 (#121) RD 109 | GP 27

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-06 @ Maryland Terrapins L 54 - 87
2025-11-13 @ Virginia Cavaliers W 61 - 56
2025-11-16 vs Brown Bears L 54 - 56
2025-11-19 @ Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks L 54 - 68
2025-11-28 @ Florida International Panthers L 76 - 86
2025-11-30 vs Presbyterian Blue Hose W 68 - 48
2025-12-30 vs Notre Dame Of Maryland University Gators W 104 - 22
2026-01-01 vs NJIT Highlanders L 75 - 80
2026-01-08 @ Maine Black Bears L 43 - 58
2026-01-10 @ New Hampshire Wildcats W 58 - 47
2026-01-15 vs Bryant Bulldogs W 55 - 47
2026-01-17 vs Binghamton Bearcats W 64 - 58
2026-01-22 @ NJIT Highlanders W 52 - 51
2026-01-24 @ UMass Lowell River Hawks W 75 - 52
2026-01-29 vs Vermont Catamounts L 47 - 69
2026-01-31 vs UAlbany Great Danes W 55 - 46
2026-02-05 @ Binghamton Bearcats L 59 - 73
2026-02-12 vs Maine Black Bears L 55 - 56
2026-02-14 vs New Hampshire Wildcats W 61 - 44
2026-02-19 @ Vermont Catamounts W 46 - 44
2026-02-21 @ UAlbany Great Danes L 63 - 69
2026-02-26 @ Bryant Bulldogs W 65 - 59
2026-02-28 vs UMass Lowell River Hawks W 66 - 43
2026-03-05 vs NJIT Highlanders W 66 - 65
2026-03-09 @ Vermont Catamounts L 65 - 68
2026-03-19 @ Ohio Bobcats W 62 - 58
2026-03-23 @ Marshall Thundering Herd L 53 - 66

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
J. Tillman J. Tillman F 27 31.4 15.9 7.7 1.4 1.8 0.5 3.3 14.7 9.3 47 2.2 3.3 35.4 33.0 85.3 2.27 47.1 39.9
H. Williams H. Williams G 27 27.5 9.7 5.5 1.1 1.6 0.4 2.1 10.3 5.9 41 2.0 3.8 37.6 13.6 58.8 1.12 41.9 38.7
K. Austin K. Austin G 25 20.5 6.8 3.1 1.2 1.4 0.2 2.2 6.3 4.2 39 1.9 3.2 35.4 33.3 66.7 2.12 44.2 37.3
C. Yanez C. Yanez G 27 35.4 5.9 2.2 4.0 1.0 0.0 2.3 6.0 4.8 -30 -1.5 -2.2 32.7 29.3 92.6 -3.26 46.0 41.7
D. Yarborough D. Yarborough C 27 15.5 5.8 4.3 0.1 0.2 1.0 0.6 4.5 6.3 -23 -1.1 -3.1 53.7 0 46.6 -2.81 53.6 53.7
Ainaya Williams Ainaya Williams F 27 21.5 5.3 4.3 0.4 1.1 0.3 1.1 4.6 5.7 -22 -1.2 -2.4 45.5 0 61.5 0.58 49.4 45.5
D. Slomack D. Slomack G 25 14.6 4.2 0.6 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.6 3.9 0.9 -29 -1.5 -4.3 30.6 32.3 96.0 1.6 47.7 40.8
T. Bellamy T. Bellamy G 27 24.9 4.1 2.7 0.8 1.2 0.1 1.4 4.9 2.6 73 3.3 6.7 32.3 11.1 66.7 1.27 37.3 32.7
G. Scott G. Scott F 21 17.3 3.4 2.6 0.4 0.9 0.5 0.7 3.2 3.9 -30 -2.0 -3.5 35.3 40.8 60.0 -2.38 50.6 50.0
M. Crowley M. Crowley F 12 6.0 2.2 2.0 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.5 1.8 2.8 11 0.9 4.8 42.9 28.6 66.7 0.17 52.1 47.6
L. Thompson L. Thompson G 15 4.7 1.5 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.0 0.2 1.2 0.6 37 2.3 17.1 44.4 33.3 50.0 0.19 58.3 58.3
K. Ramsey K. Ramsey G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Sadaya Jones Sadaya Jones G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - 59 2.3 4.3 - - - 1.59 - -

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG