Model Predictions
| Model | UMBC Retrievers | Virginia Cavaliers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 34.2% | 65.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 15.5% | 84.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 0.9% | 99.1% | +25.7 | ✗ (30.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 34.6% | 65.4% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 1.4% | 98.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 8.3% | 91.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Virginia Cavaliers -5 (56-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UMBC Retrievers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Bellamy | 36 | 2-8 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | +1.1 |
| C. Yanez | 35 | 4-5 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 9 | -2.4 |
| G. Scott | 26 | 4-5 | 4-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 13 | +1.0 |
| J. Tillman | 24 | 1-11 | 0-3 | 4-6 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 4 | -5.2 |
| A. Williams | 22 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | -1.1 |
| K. Austin | 20 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 2 | -0.2 |
| H. Williams | 20 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 7-8 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 10 | -1.9 |
| D. Yarborough | 17 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -4.8 |
Virginia Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Johnson | 40 | 1-16 | 0-9 | 2-2 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | +4.7 |
| R. Levy | 33 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 11 | +12.8 |
| B. Hurd | 33 | 7-10 | 0-1 | 8-11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 22 | 18 | -7.9 |
| P. Clark | 27 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 8 | +0.0 |
| T. Amanze | 23 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 7 | -13.0 |
| G. White | 17 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 5 | -2.8 |
| C. Weimar | 17 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | +19.1 |
| J. Brown | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | +10.1 |
| A. Ring | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | +4.2 |
| R. Dias Dos Santos | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | -1.9 |
* = starter