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2026-01-17

Model Predictions

Model Binghamton Bearcats UMBC Retrievers Spread Result
Elo 29.3% 70.7% -
Bradley-Terry 56.5% 43.5% -
Margin 44.0% 56.0% +1.3 (4.7 off)
Pythagorean 47.8% 52.2% -
Efficiency 60.0% 40.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 51.6% 48.4% -
Log Adjusted 51.3% 48.7% -
Points Off/Def 45.6% 54.4% -

Actual: UMBC Retrievers +6 (64-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Binghamton Bearcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Casey 34 4-9 0-2 2-2 3 1 2 0 2 10 5 -19.5
B. Pucci 30 6-13 0-5 1-3 3 1 2 0 3 13 3 +0.2
K. Bennett 28 1-5 0-0 1-1 10 0 2 1 4 3 7 -13.8
Ka. Goode 25 2-5 0-2 3-3 2 0 0 0 2 7 2 -4.0
L. Middleton 24 4-8 1-4 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 9 4 -0.7
C. Bennett 23 3-8 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 1 1 6 0 -2.3
Y. Boyd 22 1-4 0-0 2-2 3 0 2 0 3 4 2 +0.5
A. Redd 14 1-3 0-0 4-6 1 1 0 0 1 6 4 +0.3

UMBC Retrievers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Tillman 36 5-13 1-4 10-12 11 0 3 1 4 21 19 +17.1
C. Yanez 32 0-4 0-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 3 0 -5 -9.1
K. Austin 32 3-8 1-1 2-2 1 3 3 0 2 9 6 +11.7
H. Williams 31 7-10 0-1 3-6 6 0 3 0 4 17 12 +8.6
A. Williams 26 3-5 0-0 4-4 8 0 0 0 2 10 11 +18.0
T. Bellamy 21 1-4 0-0 0-2 4 1 0 0 1 2 2 +5.4
D. Slomack 14 1-3 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 1 1 3 0 +14.3
D. Yarborough 6 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 2 2 -1.4
G. Scott 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -7.7

* = starter