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2026-02-26

Model Predictions

Model UMBC Retrievers Bryant Bulldogs Spread Result
Elo 54.4% 45.6% -
Bradley-Terry 43.9% 56.1% -
Margin 33.0% 67.0% +3.9 (9.9 off)
Pythagorean 37.4% 62.6% -
Efficiency 10.8% 89.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 38.6% 61.4% -
Log Adjusted 38.3% 61.7% -
Points Off/Def 39.5% 60.5% -

Actual: Bryant Bulldogs -6 (59-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UMBC Retrievers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Yanez 49 2-4 2-3 8-8 4 7 1 0 4 14 18 -
T. Bellamy 41 3-9 0-1 0-0 3 0 1 0 1 6 0 -
J. Tillman 39 5-12 1-3 7-7 7 3 2 0 3 18 15 -
H. Williams 36 2-10 0-2 1-2 3 1 1 0 1 5 -1 -
A. Williams 33 3-7 0-0 2-3 6 0 3 1 2 8 9 -
D. Yarborough 18 5-8 0-0 2-6 2 0 1 0 0 12 7 -
D. Slomack 13 0-1 0-1 2-2 0 1 0 1 0 2 3 -
G. Scott 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -
K. Austin 9 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -

Bryant Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Nyborg 50 6-14 0-0 3-4 5 3 2 1 2 15 10 -
M. Rubino 44 9-15 3-6 1-1 4 2 1 0 3 22 11 -
M. Mancini 38 4-14 2-8 1-2 5 1 0 0 5 11 -2 -
N. Scott 34 2-6 0-0 0-1 8 1 3 1 4 4 7 -
M. Boba 32 2-3 0-0 0-0 6 3 0 0 3 4 7 -
I. Adams 23 1-4 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 0 1 2 1 -
R. Nelson 16 0-0 0-0 1-2 5 2 0 0 0 1 8 -
O. Fernandez 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 0 0 -

* = starter