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2026-02-05

Model Predictions

Model UMBC Retrievers Binghamton Bearcats Spread Result
Elo 54.7% 45.3% -
Bradley-Terry 30.3% 69.7% -
Margin 35.2% 64.8% +3.3 (10.7 off)
Pythagorean 46.2% 53.8% -
Efficiency 34.0% 66.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 42.4% 57.6% -
Log Adjusted 42.7% 57.3% -
Points Off/Def 40.9% 59.1% -

Actual: Binghamton Bearcats +14 (73-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UMBC Retrievers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Yanez 37 4-11 3-10 0-0 0 3 0 0 1 11 2 -17.6
J. Tillman 34 6-14 3-6 4-4 8 1 2 0 1 19 15 -6.6
T. Bellamy 30 1-6 0-0 1-4 6 0 2 0 1 3 4 -2.6
K. Austin 24 2-5 1-2 1-4 3 2 2 1 5 6 4 -12.3
H. Williams 20 4-8 0-1 1-2 1 1 0 0 0 9 3 -9.9
A. Williams 17 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 2 -1 -13.5
D. Yarborough 15 1-3 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 2 0 3 4 +1.0
G. Scott 11 2-3 2-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 6 4 -2.2
D. Slomack 10 0-3 0-2 0-0 2 0 1 0 1 0 -1 -1.7
L. Thompson 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -0.1

Binghamton Bearcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Pucci 37 7-13 4-7 5-5 7 5 1 1 3 23 21 +15.5
K. Bennett 37 9-11 0-0 3-6 13 0 2 1 3 21 23 +9.3
M. Casey 31 2-4 0-0 0-2 2 2 1 0 2 4 3 +3.8
C. Bennett 28 3-5 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 1 0 6 5 +15.7
L. Middleton 28 5-10 3-5 2-2 2 2 1 0 1 15 9 +13.9
Y. Boyd 17 1-5 0-1 2-2 3 0 1 0 3 4 0 +5.4
Ka. Goode 16 0-2 0-2 0-0 2 3 0 0 2 0 1 +13.8
A. Redd 4 0-2 0-1 0-2 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -0.9
D. Salgado 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter