Model Predictions
| Model | Brown Bears | UMBC Retrievers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 45.4% | 54.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 55.9% | 44.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 64.1% | 35.9% | -3.2 | ✓ (1.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.6% | 47.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 78.5% | 21.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 72.5% | 27.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 72.8% | 27.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 54.5% | 45.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UMBC Retrievers -2 (54-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Brown Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O. Young | 33 | 4-11 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 5 | -3.8 |
| C. Adams-Lopez | 33 | 5-11 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 4 | +4.4 |
| M. Leahy | 32 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 1 | +9.8 |
| B. Nelson | 28 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 2-3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 5 | +3.1 |
| A. Moreland | 27 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 7-12 | 14 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 20 | +1.3 |
| I. Wesley | 17 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | -5.6 |
| A. Ofunrein | 13 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | -1 | -0.7 |
| M. Witherspoon | 10 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | -3.1 |
| M. Calhoun | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | +1.9 |
UMBC Retrievers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Scott | 30 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | +3.6 |
| C. Yanez | 29 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -11.0 |
| H. Williams | 28 | 3-9 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 4 | +3.3 |
| K. Austin | 23 | 4-10 | 1-2 | 6-6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 7 | +12.8 |
| D. Slomack | 22 | 5-9 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 8 | +3.3 |
| T. Bellamy | 19 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -4 | -5.8 |
| A. Williams | 19 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -2.8 |
| J. Tillman | 13 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | -1 | -2.2 |
| D. Yarborough | 10 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 4 | +0.5 |
| M. Crowley | 4 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +1.2 |
| L. Thompson | 3 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | -5.9 |
* = starter