Model Predictions
| Model | UMBC Retrievers | Vermont Catamounts | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 17.8% | 82.2% | +8.3 | ✓ (5.3 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 19.2% | 80.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 25.6% | 74.4% | +11.7 | ✓ (8.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 12.8% | 87.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 13.6% | 86.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 14.4% | 85.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 25.6% | 74.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Vermont Catamounts +3 (68-65). Ratings: 2025-26 season-end ratings.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
UMBC Retrievers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jade Tillman * | 47 | 10-21 | 2-5 | 10-11 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 32 | 17 | - |
| Carmen Yanez * | 45 | 1-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Tiara Bellamy * | 39 | 4-11 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Alaina Williams * | 36 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Heidi Williams * | 25 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Kennedy Austin | 23 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Gabby Scott | 14 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Dagny Slomack | 12 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Delaney Yarborough | 9 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
Vermont Catamounts
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keira Hanson * | 50 | 4-12 | 0-3 | 2-4 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 1 | - |
| Nikola Priede * | 49 | 10-16 | 0-0 | 2-7 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 22 | 15 | - |
| Malia Lenz * | 44 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Jadyn Weltz * | 44 | 8-16 | 3-7 | 4-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 23 | 10 | - |
| Emma Haan * | 43 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 5-6 | 14 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 21 | - |
| Jacklynn Hosier | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Savanna Creal | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter