Model Predictions
| Model | Bryant Bulldogs | UMBC Retrievers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 29.6% | 70.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 41.8% | 58.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 46.4% | 53.6% | +0.8 | ✓ (7.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 56.6% | 43.4% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 83.2% | 16.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 55.4% | 44.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 55.7% | 44.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 47.0% | 53.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UMBC Retrievers +8 (55-47). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Bryant Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Rubino | 38 | 4-14 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 10 | +12.8 |
| I. Adams | 35 | 4-13 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 5 | +10.9 |
| M. Nyborg | 31 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 6 | +0.2 |
| R. Nelson | 29 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 5 | -0.7 |
| N. Scott | 18 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | +19.3 |
| M. Mancini | 18 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -1 | +20.2 |
| A. Lindsey | 17 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 0 | -5.6 |
| M. Boba | 12 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | -0.8 |
| O. Fernandez | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +6.9 |
UMBC Retrievers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Yanez | 39 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | -8.1 |
| J. Tillman | 33 | 6-17 | 2-7 | 7-8 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 12 | -4.6 |
| H. Williams | 29 | 1-9 | 0-2 | 4-8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 2 | -7.5 |
| T. Bellamy | 25 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -0.6 |
| A. Williams | 19 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 8 | +6.6 |
| D. Yarborough | 16 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 8 | -17.6 |
| K. Austin | 15 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -10.9 |
| D. Slomack | 15 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 6 | -3.4 |
| M. Crowley | 9 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -5.3 |
* = starter