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UCLA

Season: 2027 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018
Also known as: UCLA Bruins, UCLA
Program History
Coach: Steve Alford

2017 Team Stats (33 games)

90.6
PPG
76.0
Opp
+14.6
Margin
52.4%
FG%
40.8%
3P%
74.4%
FT%
38.2
RPG
21.6
APG
11.1
TO
-
Est. poss./game
90.2
Adj PPG
72.1
Adj Opp PPG
#13
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2016-2017
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1406 (#15) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1390 (#6) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +89 elo More → 1189 (#8) HCA +89 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.6 More → +19.3 (#14) HCA +2.6
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.6 More → +18.6 (#14) HCA +2.6
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.880 (#8) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +25.1 More → 0.948 (#21) AdjNet +25.1
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +25.3 More → 0.949 (#21) AdjNet +25.3
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 90.2 | AdjD 72.1 More → 0.838 (#13) AdjO 90.2 | AdjD 72.1
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 84.5 | AdjD 71.5 More → 0.765 (#11) AdjO 84.5 | AdjD 71.5
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.884 (#12) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.874 (#12) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 101 | GP 36 More → 1379 (#8) RD 101 | GP 36

2017 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2016-11-11 vs Pacific Tigers W 119 - 80
2016-11-13 vs Cal State Northridge Matadors W 102 - 87
2016-11-17 vs San Diego Toreros W 88 - 68
2016-11-20 vs Long Beach State Beach W 114 - 77
2016-11-24 vs Portland Pilots W 99 - 77
2016-11-25 vs Nebraska Cornhuskers W 82 - 71
2016-11-27 vs Texas A&M Aggies W 74 - 67
2016-11-30 vs UC Riverside Highlanders W 98 - 56
2016-12-03 @ Kentucky Wildcats W 97 - 92
2016-12-10 vs Michigan Wolverines W 102 - 84
2016-12-14 vs UC Santa Barbara Gauchos W 102 - 62
2016-12-17 vs Ohio State Buckeyes W 86 - 73
2016-12-21 vs Western Michigan Broncos W 82 - 68
2016-12-28 @ Oregon Ducks L 87 - 89
2016-12-30 @ Oregon State Beavers W 76 - 63
2017-01-05 vs California Golden Bears W 81 - 71
2017-01-08 vs Stanford Cardinal W 89 - 75
2017-01-12 @ Colorado Buffaloes W 104 - 89
2017-01-14 @ Utah Utes W 83 - 82
2017-01-19 vs Arizona State Sun Devils W 102 - 80
2017-01-21 vs Arizona Wildcats L 85 - 96
2017-01-25 @ USC Trojans L 76 - 84
2017-02-01 @ Washington State Cougars W 95 - 79
2017-02-04 @ Washington Huskies W 107 - 66
2017-02-09 vs Oregon Ducks W 82 - 79
2017-02-12 vs Oregon State Beavers W 78 - 60
2017-02-18 vs USC Trojans W 102 - 70
2017-02-23 @ Arizona State Sun Devils W 87 - 75
2017-02-25 @ Arizona Wildcats W 77 - 72
2017-03-01 vs Washington Huskies W 98 - 66
2017-03-04 vs Washington State Cougars W 77 - 68
2017-03-09 vs USC Trojans W 76 - 74
2017-03-10 @ Arizona Wildcats L 75 - 86
2017-03-17 vs Kent State Golden Flashes W 97 - 80
2017-03-19 vs Cincinnati Bearcats W 79 - 67
2017-03-24 @ Kentucky Wildcats L 75 - 86

2017 Roster

Minutes by Position

Each player's share of the team's minutes per game (season minutes over the roster's), placed by position, so every column is one game's minutes. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
T.J. Leaf T.J. Leaf - 34 30.1 16.4 8.3 2.4 0.6 1.1 1.5 10.6 16.7 386 30 12.9 18.4 62.3 46.0 69.6 1.75 68.6 65.5
Bryce Alford Bryce Alford G 35 33.0 15.4 2.4 2.6 0.5 0.1 1.0 10.3 9.8 403 30 13.4 17.5 44.6 44.3 81.5 1.34 66.4 60.2
Lonzo Ball Lonzo Ball - 35 35.2 14.6 6.1 7.6 1.9 0.8 2.5 9.3 19.1 465 30 15.5 19.2 55.5 40.8 67.3 3.71 69.2 67.0
Isaac Hamilton Isaac Hamilton G 35 29.9 14.1 3.5 2.8 0.7 0.2 1.9 11.4 8.0 399 30 13.3 19.4 45.1 36.8 81.8 3.8 58.1 53.9
Aaron Holiday Aaron Holiday - 35 26.3 12.4 2.8 4.4 1.1 0.2 2.5 8.3 10.2 340 30 11.3 18.3 48.8 41.8 80.0 1.9 64.9 57.6
Thomas Welsh Thomas Welsh C 31 25.0 10.7 8.6 1.0 0.4 1.4 0.5 8.1 13.5 285 26 11.0 17.9 58.4 100.0 88.9 2.01 61.7 58.6
Ike Anigbogu Ike Anigbogu - 28 13.2 4.8 4.1 0.2 0.2 1.2 0.8 3.5 6.2 133 23 5.8 19.7 55.7 0 53.5 1.32 58.2 55.7
Gyorgy Goloman Gyorgy Goloman F 34 11.4 3.7 2.4 0.6 0.6 0.8 0.6 2.6 4.8 143 29 4.9 17.9 57.3 10.0 63.3 -0.2 61.6 57.9
Micah Potter Micah Potter - 1 16.0 3.0 8.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 10.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Armani Dodson Armani Dodson G 1 2.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 - - - - 100.0 0 0 - 100.0 100.0
Isaac Wulff Isaac Wulff G 5 2.0 1.0 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 1.0 - - - - 100.0 0 50.0 -1.52 86.8 100.0
Alec Wulff Alec Wulff G 13 1.8 0.5 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.2 -21 11 -1.9 -37.7 33.3 33.3 0 -4.5 50.0 50.0
Jerrold Smith Jerrold Smith G 13 1.9 0.5 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.8 -0.2 -17 12 -1.4 -30.3 27.3 0.0 50.0 -3.69 29.5 27.3
Ikenna Okwarabizie Ikenna Okwarabizie C 12 2.6 0.2 0.6 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.4 1 11 0.1 1.5 0.0 0 33.3 -0.68 21.6 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG