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2017-01-25

Model Predictions

Model UCLA Bruins USC Trojans Spread Result
Elo 30.7% 69.3% -
Bradley-Terry 50.2% 49.8% -
Margin 60.1% 39.9% -2.2 (10.2 off)
Pythagorean 69.8% 30.2% -
Efficiency 90.1% 9.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 86.0% 14.0% -
Log Adjusted 86.1% 13.9% -

Actual: USC Trojans +8 (84-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UCLA Bruins

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Ball * 39 4-9 2-6 5-9 10 4 0 1 7 15 14 -
B. Alford * 37 1-7 1-5 0-0 3 4 2 0 1 3 4 -
I. Hamilton * 32 8-13 2-5 2-2 4 3 1 0 2 20 13 -
T.J. Leaf * 27 4-10 0-0 0-0 8 0 0 2 1 8 7 -
T. Welsh * 27 6-7 0-0 1-2 7 3 1 3 1 13 19 -
A. Holiday 30 6-14 1-4 2-2 2 4 0 0 4 15 3 -
I. Anigbogu 4 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 2 -1 -
G. Goloman 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

USC Trojans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. McLaughlin * 38 3-11 2-4 2-2 3 8 2 0 3 10 9 -
D. Melton * 38 4-10 2-5 3-6 9 5 4 1 0 13 22 -
E. Stewart * 36 5-13 4-10 1-2 4 4 3 2 1 15 14 -
C. Metu * 29 5-12 0-0 3-3 7 2 0 2 3 13 9 -
J. Mathews * 19 1-5 1-5 0-0 2 0 3 0 0 3 3 -
S. Aaron 26 6-12 4-9 7-8 4 1 0 0 0 23 16 -
N. Rakocevic 12 2-3 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 1 4 5 -
H. Henderson 2 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 2 -

* = starter