Model Predictions
| Model | USC Trojans | UCLA Bruins | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 19.9% | 80.1% | +8.9 | ✓ (23.1 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 26.3% | 73.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 11.7% | 88.3% | +11.1 | ✓ (20.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.7% | 59.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 15.9% | 84.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 15.8% | 84.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 26.5% | 73.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UCLA Bruins +32 (102-70). Ratings: 2016-17 season-end ratings.
USC Trojans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan McLaughlin * | 33 | 3-10 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Chimezie Metu * | 32 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 9 | - |
| Bennie Boatwright * | 31 | 4-12 | 4-9 | 8-8 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 18 | - |
| De'Anthony Melton * | 26 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Elijah Stewart * | 24 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -2 | - |
| Shaqquan Aaron | 26 | 3-9 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Jonah Mathews | 17 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -2 | - |
| Nick Rakocevic | 7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Charles Buggs | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Kurt Karis | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
UCLA Bruins
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lonzo Ball * | 32 | 6-9 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 8 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 20 | - |
| Bryce Alford * | 30 | 8-15 | 5-9 | 5-5 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 26 | 22 | - |
| T.J. Leaf * | 30 | 8-13 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 19 | 16 | - |
| Thomas Welsh * | 29 | 8-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 25 | - |
| Isaac Hamilton * | 28 | 6-12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 5 | - |
| Aaron Holiday | 28 | 3-8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 2 | - |
| Gyorgy Goloman | 12 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Ike Anigbogu | 8 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Ikenna Okwarabizie | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Jerrold Smith | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Alec Wulff | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter