Model Predictions
| Model | USC Trojans | UCLA Bruins | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 53.1% | 46.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 35.8% | 64.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 19.4% | 80.6% | +7.8 | ✓ (24.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 24.2% | 75.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 3.9% | 96.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 8.0% | 92.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 7.9% | 92.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UCLA Bruins +32 (102-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.
USC Trojans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. McLaughlin * | 33 | 3-10 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 8 | - |
| C. Metu * | 32 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 9 | - |
| B. Boatwright * | 31 | 4-12 | 4-9 | 8-8 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 18 | - |
| D. Melton * | 26 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 7 | - |
| E. Stewart * | 24 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -2 | - |
| S. Aaron | 26 | 3-9 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | - |
| J. Mathews | 17 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -2 | - |
| N. Rakocevic | 7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
| C. Buggs | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| K. Karis | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
UCLA Bruins
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Ball * | 32 | 6-9 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 8 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 20 | - |
| B. Alford * | 30 | 8-15 | 5-9 | 5-5 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 26 | 22 | - |
| T.J. Leaf * | 30 | 8-13 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 19 | 16 | - |
| T. Welsh * | 29 | 8-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 25 | - |
| I. Hamilton * | 28 | 6-12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 5 | - |
| A. Holiday | 28 | 3-8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 2 | - |
| G. Goloman | 12 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| I. Anigbogu | 8 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| I. Okwarabizie | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| J. Smith | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| A. Wulff | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter