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2017-03-09

Model Predictions

Model USC Trojans UCLA Bruins Spread Result
Elo 53.1% 46.9% -
Bradley-Terry 35.8% 64.2% -
Margin 19.4% 80.6% +7.8 (5.8 off)
Pythagorean 24.2% 75.8% -
Efficiency 3.9% 96.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 8.0% 92.0% -
Log Adjusted 7.9% 92.1% -

Actual: UCLA Bruins +2 (76-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.

USC Trojans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. McLaughlin 36 7-15 1-3 3-4 2 6 1 0 1 18 11 -
C. Metu 32 2-5 0-0 4-7 14 3 0 0 3 8 17 -
E. Stewart 29 6-10 3-5 2-3 3 0 0 1 0 17 11 -
B. Boatwright 28 3-11 3-8 2-2 3 0 0 0 2 11 1 -
J. Mathews 28 3-10 2-6 3-3 3 1 1 0 1 11 5 -
D. Melton 17 2-6 0-1 1-2 1 2 3 0 0 5 5 -
S. Aaron 16 0-3 0-2 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 -2 -
N. Rakocevic 14 1-2 0-0 2-4 4 0 0 0 0 4 6 -

UCLA Bruins

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T.J. Leaf 33 6-12 0-1 2-2 6 5 0 1 2 14 12 -
L. Ball 33 4-10 2-7 2-2 4 7 1 1 2 12 13 -
B. Alford 33 2-10 2-7 2-2 5 2 0 1 1 8 5 -
I. Hamilton 31 8-15 4-9 2-2 3 1 1 0 2 22 10 -
T. Welsh 26 5-10 0-0 1-2 11 1 0 2 1 11 14 -
A. Holiday 24 2-8 1-1 0-0 4 2 0 1 2 5 2 -
I. Anigbogu 11 0-2 0-0 2-3 7 0 0 0 1 2 6 -
G. Goloman 9 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 1 1 2 3 -

* = starter