Model Predictions
| Model | Cal State Northridge Matadors | UCLA Bruins | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 8.6% | 91.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 5.5% | 94.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 1.1% | 98.9% | +24.7 | ✓ (9.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 6.1% | 93.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UCLA Bruins +15 (102-87). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cal State Northridge Matadors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Johnson | 32 | 6-13 | 1-3 | 2-5 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 2 | - |
| K. Smith * | 34 | 8-14 | 1-3 | 4-5 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 17 | - |
| A. Parks * | 23 | 7-11 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 10 | - |
| R. Lubin * | 20 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 11 | - |
| D. Johns * | 16 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| M. Warren | 28 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 2-3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| T. Dawson | 28 | 7-11 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 19 | - |
| J. Wilbut | 6 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -5 | - |
| M. Kaba-Camara | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| J. Richardson | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| R. Theus Jr. | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
UCLA Bruins
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Ball * | 38 | 4-6 | 1-3 | 4-6 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 18 | - |
| I. Hamilton * | 34 | 9-14 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 9 | - |
| B. Alford * | 34 | 5-13 | 2-4 | 8-8 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 9 | - |
| T. Welsh * | 30 | 3-12 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 18 | - |
| T.J. Leaf * | 18 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 15 | - |
| A. Holiday | 29 | 3-9 | 1-3 | 6-7 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 9 | - |
| G. Goloman | 15 | 5-7 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 18 | - |
| I. Okwarabizie | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter