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2016-12-03

Model Predictions

Model UCLA Bruins Kentucky Wildcats Spread Result
Elo 24.6% 75.4% -
Bradley-Terry 37.0% 63.0% -
Margin 27.8% 72.2% +5.2 (10.2 off)
Pythagorean 49.3% 50.7% -
Efficiency 51.6% 48.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 31.7% 68.3% -
Log Adjusted 31.3% 68.7% -

Actual: Kentucky Wildcats -5 (92-97). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UCLA Bruins

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Ball * 38 5-12 2-8 2-2 6 7 1 1 6 14 11 -
B. Alford * 35 4-10 2-5 4-6 0 1 0 0 3 14 2 -
I. Hamilton * 33 7-13 3-5 2-3 4 1 1 1 2 19 11 -
T.J. Leaf * 32 7-12 1-2 2-2 13 5 1 1 2 17 23 -
T. Welsh * 19 5-7 0-0 4-4 8 0 0 0 1 14 14 -
A. Holiday 20 4-7 2-3 3-4 0 4 1 1 1 13 11 -
I. Anigbogu 17 3-4 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 2 2 6 8 -
G. Goloman 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 0 2 -

Kentucky Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Monk * 36 10-19 4-8 0-0 3 0 5 0 2 24 11 -
I. Briscoe * 34 4-14 0-5 4-7 4 3 0 0 3 12 2 -
D. Fox * 34 8-20 1-4 3-5 2 9 1 0 2 20 10 -
B. Adebayo * 33 4-12 0-0 10-13 13 0 0 4 0 18 23 -
W. Gabriel * 17 1-2 0-1 0-0 8 0 0 0 2 2 6 -
D. Willis 22 4-7 2-4 1-2 4 2 1 0 0 11 11 -
D. Hawkins 16 2-4 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 5 2 -
I. Humphries 8 0-2 0-0 0-0 2 2 1 2 0 0 5 -

* = starter