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2017-02-09

Model Predictions

Model Oregon Ducks UCLA Bruins Spread Result
Elo 25.8% 74.2% -
Bradley-Terry 43.7% 56.3% -
Margin 28.1% 71.9% +5.2 (2.2 off)
Pythagorean 47.1% 52.9% -
Efficiency 60.5% 39.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 58.7% 41.3% -
Log Adjusted 58.9% 41.1% -

Actual: UCLA Bruins +3 (82-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Oregon Ducks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Brooks 38 7-17 5-9 0-0 3 2 0 0 0 19 7 -
J. Bell 35 3-7 0-0 3-7 15 3 3 0 1 9 22 -
T. Dorsey 32 7-17 2-7 3-3 1 0 2 0 1 19 4 -
P. Pritchard 30 5-9 1-5 2-2 4 1 0 0 0 13 9 -
D. Ennis 28 3-7 2-6 0-0 4 4 0 0 1 8 8 -
C. Boucher 20 3-9 1-4 1-2 5 0 2 1 0 8 7 -
C. Benson 17 1-3 1-2 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 3 3 -

UCLA Bruins

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Ball 38 6-11 3-7 0-0 11 1 0 0 3 15 13 -
T.J. Leaf 34 4-12 0-2 0-0 5 3 1 0 2 8 3 -
B. Alford 30 3-7 3-7 3-3 1 4 0 0 0 12 10 -
A. Holiday 28 5-8 2-5 3-4 7 3 0 0 2 15 15 -
I. Hamilton 26 4-9 1-3 2-4 3 1 0 0 1 11 5 -
T. Welsh 25 6-7 0-0 0-0 8 2 0 1 2 12 14 -
I. Anigbogu 15 4-8 0-0 1-2 7 0 0 3 0 9 11 -
G. Goloman 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 -

* = starter