๐Ÿปโฌ‡๏ธ๐Ÿ€

@
2016-11-24

Model Predictions

Model Portland Pilots UCLA Bruins Spread Result
Elo 1.7% 98.3% +28.5 โœ“ (6.5 off)
Bradley-Terry 3.3% 96.7% - โœ“
Margin 0.6% 99.4% +27.8 โœ“ (5.8 off)
Pythagorean 15.9% 84.1% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 7.9% 92.1% - โœ“

Actual: UCLA Bruins +22 (99-77). Ratings: 2016-17 season-end ratings.

Portland Pilots

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Gabe Taylor * 31 2-9 1-6 1-2 4 1 0 0 1 6 1 -
Jazz Johnson * 31 9-16 4-7 3-3 2 4 0 0 1 25 14 -
Alec Wintering * 30 5-15 1-2 2-2 6 2 3 0 6 13 3 -
Jarrel Marshall * 23 3-6 2-3 2-2 2 0 2 0 3 10 5 -
Philipp Hartwich * 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 0 1 0 5 -
D'Marques Tyson 28 5-14 4-11 2-2 4 0 0 0 1 16 5 -
Ray Barreno 14 0-3 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 0 2 0 1 -
Rashad Jackson 12 2-5 2-3 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 6 3 -
Joseph Smoyer 9 0-1 0-0 1-2 3 1 0 0 0 1 4 -
Andre Ferguson 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 0 3 -

UCLA Bruins

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Bryce Alford * 34 4-10 3-8 2-2 1 2 1 1 0 13 8 -
Isaac Hamilton * 30 5-13 4-9 2-2 3 6 2 0 4 16 10 -
T.J. Leaf * 28 6-9 1-1 1-1 9 4 0 0 1 14 17 -
Lonzo Ball * 27 6-9 4-7 2-3 4 11 2 0 2 18 24 -
Thomas Welsh * 26 8-10 0-0 0-0 10 0 0 1 1 16 16 -
Aaron Holiday 26 4-9 2-4 4-6 5 5 1 0 1 14 15 -
Gyorgy Goloman 17 3-6 0-0 1-2 6 1 0 1 1 7 8 -
Ikenna Okwarabizie 4 0-0 0-0 1-2 0 0 1 0 1 1 1 -
Jerrold Smith 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Alec Wulff 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter