Model Predictions
| Model | Portland Pilots | UCLA Bruins | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 7.0% | 93.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 6.2% | 93.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 1.9% | 98.1% | +21.8 | ✓ (0.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 1.4% | 98.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UCLA Bruins +22 (99-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Portland Pilots
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Taylor * | 31 | 2-9 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | - |
| J. Johnson * | 31 | 9-16 | 4-7 | 3-3 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 14 | - |
| A. Wintering * | 30 | 5-15 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 13 | 3 | - |
| J. Marshall * | 23 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 5 | - |
| P. Hartwich * | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - |
| D. Tyson | 28 | 5-14 | 4-11 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 5 | - |
| R. Barreno | 14 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
| R. Jackson | 12 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| J. Smoyer | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - |
| A. Ferguson | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
UCLA Bruins
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Alford * | 34 | 4-10 | 3-8 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 8 | - |
| I. Hamilton * | 30 | 5-13 | 4-9 | 2-2 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 10 | - |
| T.J. Leaf * | 28 | 6-9 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 17 | - |
| L. Ball * | 27 | 6-9 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 4 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 24 | - |
| T. Welsh * | 26 | 8-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 16 | - |
| A. Holiday | 26 | 4-9 | 2-4 | 4-6 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 15 | - |
| G. Goloman | 17 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 8 | - |
| I. Okwarabizie | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - |
| J. Smith | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Wulff | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter