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2016-12-28

Model Predictions

Model UCLA Bruins Oregon Ducks Spread Result
Elo 59.0% 41.0% -
Bradley-Terry 42.0% 58.0% -
Margin 48.1% 51.9% +0.4 (1.6 off)
Pythagorean 46.9% 53.1% -
Efficiency 33.5% 66.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 35.3% 64.7% -
Log Adjusted 35.1% 64.9% -

Actual: Oregon Ducks +2 (89-87). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UCLA Bruins

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Ball * 38 5-11 3-8 1-2 3 6 0 1 2 14 11 -
T.J. Leaf * 32 5-8 1-2 2-4 5 1 0 1 1 13 11 -
B. Alford * 32 7-11 6-10 0-1 4 1 0 1 0 20 15 -
T. Welsh * 27 8-11 0-0 4-4 10 1 0 3 2 20 21 -
I. Hamilton * 24 1-6 0-2 0-0 5 3 0 0 3 2 1 -
A. Holiday 28 2-10 1-3 0-0 1 7 1 0 3 5 1 -
I. Anigbogu 11 4-4 0-0 1-1 4 0 1 0 3 9 7 -
G. Goloman 8 2-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 4 4 -

Oregon Ducks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Brooks * 35 9-20 2-8 3-6 9 4 2 0 4 23 14 -
D. Ennis * 31 3-11 1-4 3-4 5 3 0 0 0 10 7 -
P. Pritchard * 31 5-8 3-5 2-2 2 9 1 0 1 15 18 -
J. Bell * 30 5-8 1-1 2-2 7 0 1 1 3 13 11 -
T. Dorsey * 28 3-9 1-5 4-6 1 2 0 0 1 11 4 -
C. Boucher 27 2-8 1-5 4-5 7 1 1 0 0 9 10 -
C. Benson 13 2-2 2-2 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 6 5 -
K. Bigby-Williams 5 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -

* = starter