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2017-03-24

Model Predictions

Model UCLA Bruins Kentucky Wildcats Spread Result
Elo 24.6% 75.4% -
Bradley-Terry 37.0% 63.0% -
Margin 27.8% 72.2% +5.2 (5.8 off)
Pythagorean 49.3% 50.7% -
Efficiency 51.6% 48.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 31.7% 68.3% -
Log Adjusted 31.3% 68.7% -

Actual: Kentucky Wildcats +11 (86-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UCLA Bruins

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Ball * 38 4-10 1-6 1-2 3 8 0 2 4 10 9 -
T.J. Leaf * 34 7-11 1-1 2-4 7 0 0 1 3 17 11 -
B. Alford * 33 5-12 3-9 0-0 2 2 0 0 1 13 4 -
I. Hamilton * 33 6-9 4-5 1-1 5 1 1 1 0 17 16 -
T. Welsh * 18 3-5 0-0 3-3 7 1 1 1 0 9 14 -
A. Holiday 23 2-4 0-1 1-3 1 4 0 0 3 5 3 -
I. Anigbogu 15 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 2 0 0 -
G. Goloman 6 2-3 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 4 2 -

Kentucky Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Adebayo * 37 1-3 0-0 0-0 4 5 0 1 2 2 7 -
D. Fox * 36 13-20 0-1 13-15 3 4 2 0 1 39 27 -
I. Briscoe * 35 2-7 1-2 0-0 7 4 0 0 0 5 9 -
M. Monk * 32 8-17 4-9 1-2 3 1 1 2 1 21 10 -
D. Willis * 25 3-11 2-7 0-0 8 4 0 1 0 8 10 -
D. Hawkins 17 4-5 3-4 0-0 0 0 1 0 1 11 6 -
I. Humphries 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 0 2 -
W. Gabriel 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 1 0 1 -
M. Mulder 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter