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UCF

Season: 2027 preview 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: UCF Knights, UCF
Program History
Coach: Donnie Jones

2014 Team Stats (11 games)

66.4
PPG
77.0
Opp
-10.6
Margin
40.4%
FG%
28.1%
3P%
61.8%
FT%
37.4
RPG
10.4
APG
14.5
TO
-
Est. poss./game
72.6
Adj PPG
71.3
Adj Opp PPG
#149
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2013-2014
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 974 (#199) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 955 (#209) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +92 elo More → 952 (#240) HCA +92 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More → +1.8 (#142) HCA +2.8
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.9 More → +2.6 (#129) HCA +2.9
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.391 (#225) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +2.4 More → 0.569 (#143) AdjNet +2.4
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +2.5 More → 0.571 (#141) AdjNet +2.5
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 72.6 | AdjD 71.3 More → 0.529 (#149) AdjO 72.6 | AdjD 71.3
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 71.4 | AdjD 72.4 More → 0.479 (#197) AdjO 71.4 | AdjD 72.4
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.517 (#163) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.506 (#171) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 135 | GP 29 More → 971 (#186) RD 135 | GP 29

2014 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2013-11-08 vs Tampa Spartans W 97 - 72
2013-11-13 vs Florida State Seminoles L 68 - 80
2013-11-17 vs Bethune-Cookman Wildcats W 83 - 63
2013-11-21 @ Miami Hurricanes W 63 - 58
2013-11-26 @ Valparaiso Beacons L 70 - 85
2013-12-03 @ Florida Atlantic Owls L 64 - 75
2013-12-07 vs Stetson Hatters W 77 - 58
2013-12-11 vs Howard Bison W 79 - 64
2013-12-17 vs Jacksonville Dolphins W 104 - 64
2013-12-21 vs Rio Grande Red Storm W 86 - 58
2013-12-22 vs Valparaiso Beacons W 90 - 62
2013-12-31 vs Louisville Cardinals L 65 - 90
2014-01-04 vs Temple Owls W 78 - 76
2014-01-11 @ UConn Huskies L 61 - 84
2014-01-15 @ Rutgers Scarlet Knights L 75 - 85
2014-01-18 vs SMU Mustangs L 46 - 58
2014-01-23 @ Cincinnati Bearcats L 51 - 69
2014-01-29 vs Memphis Tigers L 59 - 69
2014-02-01 @ Louisville Cardinals L 70 - 87
2014-02-05 vs South Florida Bulls L 78 - 79
2014-02-09 vs UConn Huskies L 55 - 75
2014-02-12 @ Memphis Tigers L 70 - 76
2014-02-15 @ South Florida Bulls W 75 - 74
2014-02-19 vs Cincinnati Bearcats L 49 - 77
2014-02-22 @ Houston Cougars L 84 - 88
2014-02-26 vs Rutgers Scarlet Knights W 67 - 65
2014-03-01 @ SMU Mustangs L 55 - 70
2014-03-04 @ Temple Owls L 78 - 86
2014-03-07 vs Houston Cougars W 104 - 83
2014-03-12 @ Temple Owls W 94 - 90
2014-03-13 @ Cincinnati Bearcats L 58 - 61

2014 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Isaiah Sykes Isaiah Sykes G 25 32.7 17.5 7.3 3.4 1.8 0.2 3.9 8.8 17.4 -60 23 -2.6 -3.5 45.5 40.0 58.5 3.35 83.6 47.3
Calvin Newell Calvin Newell G 25 28.8 11.0 2.5 2.8 1.7 0.1 2.4 5.6 10.0 -26 24 -1.1 -1.6 32.9 21.0 72.9 1.38 85.3 37.5
Tristan Spurlock Tristan Spurlock F 26 28.4 10.1 5.5 1.1 0.9 1.0 1.4 4.3 12.8 -61 24 -2.5 -3.7 39.8 30.5 80.0 -0.78 102.4 47.8
Kasey Wilson Kasey Wilson F 26 26.7 9.2 6.0 0.5 0.8 0.5 1.5 4.5 11.0 -68 24 -2.8 -4.5 40.2 37.5 63.3 -1.1 91.8 49.1
Matt Williams Matt Williams G 26 19.8 6.4 2.3 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.8 3.0 6.1 -69 24 -2.9 -6.5 38.5 38.9 44.4 -1.27 101.3 56.4
Staphon Blair Staphon Blair F 26 18.3 4.9 3.5 0.1 0.1 1.5 0.9 2.7 6.5 -110 24 -4.6 -10.4 52.1 0 46.7 -2.96 76.0 52.1
Eugene McCrory Eugene McCrory F 21 14.6 4.4 2.9 0.2 0.2 0.6 0.6 1.4 6.3 -17 19 -0.9 -2.9 51.7 0 54.5 0.14 135.9 51.7
Daiquan Walker Daiquan Walker G 25 14.6 4.0 1.2 1.6 0.2 0.1 0.9 1.9 4.4 -93 23 -4.0 -12.0 41.7 22.7 82.4 -3.51 90.1 46.9
Justin McBride Justin McBride C 13 8.8 3.8 2.4 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.6 1.8 4.2 -17 13 -1.3 -5.4 58.3 0 53.3 -0.37 81.7 58.3
Brandon Goodwin Brandon Goodwin G 23 15.1 2.7 1.7 1.8 0.5 0.0 1.1 1.3 4.3 -54 21 -2.6 -8.0 41.9 25.0 50.0 -2.34 79.1 45.2
Steven Haney Steven Haney F 19 4.9 1.5 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.9 1.0 5 18 0.3 2.4 35.3 35.3 40.0 0.86 75.5 52.9
Dylan Karell Dylan Karell F 15 6.4 0.7 1.1 0.2 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.3 1.8 46 10 4.6 23.8 60.0 0 66.7 1.46 79.1 60.0
Isaac Lang Isaac Lang G 11 1.7 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.6 -0.1 14 8 1.8 30.4 28.6 16.7 0.0 0.85 33.6 35.7

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG