Model Predictions
| Model | UCF Knights | Louisville Cardinals | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 6.0% | 94.0% | +17.6 | ✓ (0.6 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 7.6% | 92.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 1.2% | 98.8% | +24.4 | ✓ (7.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 25.9% | 74.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 10.1% | 89.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Louisville Cardinals +17 (87-70). Ratings: 2013-14 season-end ratings.
UCF Knights
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Calvin Newell * | 35 | 4-9 | 0-2 | 4-6 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Isaiah Sykes * | 30 | 2-12 | 0-0 | 4-7 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Staphon Blair * | 24 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Matt Williams Jr. * | 14 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | - |
| Brandon Goodwin * | 7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - |
| Tristan Spurlock | 28 | 6-9 | 3-6 | 5-5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 14 | - |
| Daiquan Walker | 26 | 3-5 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 2 | - |
| Kasey Wilson | 22 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 3-4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 12 | - |
| Eugene McCrory | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
| Steven Haney | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Louisville Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wayne Blackshear * | 31 | 4-8 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Montrezl Harrell * | 31 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 9 | - |
| Russ Smith * | 29 | 9-14 | 2-5 | 7-10 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 27 | 19 | - |
| Luke Hancock * | 29 | 5-9 | 1-4 | 5-7 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 17 | - |
| Terry Rozier * | 20 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Chris Jones | 23 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Stephan Van Treese | 22 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Tim Henderson | 10 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Mangok Mathiang | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| David Levitch | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Anton Gill | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Akoy Agau | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter