Model Predictions
| Model | UCF Knights | Louisville Cardinals | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 52.8% | 47.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 18.8% | 81.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 17.9% | 82.1% | +8.4 | ✓ (8.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 8.2% | 91.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Louisville Cardinals +17 (87-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UCF Knights
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Newell * | 35 | 4-9 | 0-2 | 4-6 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 7 | - |
| I. Sykes * | 30 | 2-12 | 0-0 | 4-7 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 6 | - |
| S. Blair * | 24 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| M. Williams Jr. * | 14 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | - |
| B. Goodwin * | 7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - |
| T. Spurlock | 28 | 6-9 | 3-6 | 5-5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 14 | - |
| D. Walker | 26 | 3-5 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 2 | - |
| K. Wilson | 22 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 3-4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 12 | - |
| E. McCrory | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
| S. Haney | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Louisville Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W. Blackshear * | 31 | 4-8 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 10 | - |
| M. Harrell * | 31 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 9 | - |
| R. Smith * | 29 | 9-14 | 2-5 | 7-10 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 27 | 19 | - |
| L. Hancock * | 29 | 5-9 | 1-4 | 5-7 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 17 | - |
| T. Rozier * | 20 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| C. Jones | 23 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 4 | - |
| S. Van Treese | 22 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| T. Henderson | 10 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| M. Mathiang | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| D. Levitch | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Gill | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Agau | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter