Model Predictions
| Model | UCF Knights | SMU Mustangs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 56.7% | 43.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.9% | 57.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 24.0% | 76.0% | +6.3 | ✓ (8.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 12.7% | 87.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.8% | 98.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 2.2% | 97.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 2.1% | 97.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: SMU Mustangs +15 (70-55). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UCF Knights
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Haney | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| I. Lang | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| I. Sykes * | 38 | 7-14 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 18 | 7 | - |
| C. Newell * | 33 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 5 | - |
| K. Wilson * | 26 | 4-13 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 4 | - |
| T. Spurlock * | 26 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | - |
| J. McBride * | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| B. Goodwin | 25 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 3-7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 10 | - |
| S. Blair | 18 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 6 | - |
| M. Williams Jr. | 13 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| D. Walker | 12 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | - |
SMU Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Russell * | 35 | 6-11 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 8 | - |
| N. Moore * | 29 | 4-11 | 2-3 | 3-5 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 13 | - |
| M. Kennedy * | 28 | 6-13 | 0-0 | 6-10 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 18 | - |
| S. Brown * | 28 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 11 | - |
| S. Williams * | 20 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| B. Moore | 20 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | - |
| R. Manuel | 18 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 11 | - |
| C. Cunningham | 12 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 9 | - |
| K. Frazier | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
* = starter